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Society is more likely to get "cat-level" or "dog-level" AI years before human-level AI.

"[W]e will eventually reach AGI... and quite possibly before the end of this century."

"Superhuman AIs" will be achieved "between a few years and a couple of decades."

"Digital intelligence" could overtake us within "5 to 20 years."

We may achieve "something like AGI or AGI-like in the next decade."

"[W]e could get to real AGI in the next decade."

"Human-level" AI could occur in "two or three years."

"I'd be surprised if we don't have AGI by [2029]."

Will AI Surpass Human Intelligence, and When?

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth scheduled a meeting with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei on Tuesday morning to discuss military use of the company's Claude AI chatbot. The Pentagon awarded Anthropic a $200 million contract last summer, making Claude the only AI model currently operating on the military's classified networks.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth scheduled a meeting with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei on Tuesday morning to discuss military use of the company's Claude AI chatbot. The Pentagon awarded Anthropic a $200 million contract last summer, making Claude the only AI model currently operating on the military's classified networks.

Anthropic has insisted on restrictions preventing its AI technology from being used for mass surveillance of Americans and development of weapons that fire without human involvement. The Pentagon has demanded that AI companies make their models available for all lawful uses without company-imposed limitations.

Anthropic has insisted on restrictions preventing its AI technology from being used for mass surveillance of Americans and development of weapons that fire without human involvement. The Pentagon has demanded that AI companies make their models available for all lawful uses without company-imposed limitations.

The Pentagon has threatened to declare Anthropic a supply chain risk, a designation typically reserved for foreign adversaries, which would void the company's contract and force other Pentagon partners to stop using Claude entirely. Defense officials described the meeting as a decisive moment in negotiations.

Tech Brew

The Pentagon has threatened to declare Anthropic a supply chain risk, a designation typically reserved for foreign adversaries, which would void the company's contract and force other Pentagon partners to stop using Claude entirely. Defense officials described the meeting as a decisive moment in negotiations.

Claude was reportedly used during the January 3 special operations raid that resulted in the capture of Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro, an episode that brought tensions between the Pentagon and Anthropic into the open. Anthropic stated it has not discussed specific operations with the Department of Defense.

Claude was reportedly used during the January 3 special operations raid that resulted in the capture of Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro, an episode that brought tensions between the Pentagon and Anthropic into the open. Anthropic stated it has not discussed specific operations with the Department of Defense.

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has warned about AI's potentially catastrophic dangers and wrote in an essay that AI-assisted mass surveillance could gauge public sentiment and detect pockets of disloyalty. The company has positioned itself as the more responsible and safety-minded of leading AI firms since its founders left OpenAI in 2021.

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has warned about AI's potentially catastrophic dangers and wrote in an essay that AI-assisted mass surveillance could gauge public sentiment and detect pockets of disloyalty. The company has positioned itself as the more responsible and safety-minded of leading AI firms since its founders left OpenAI in 2021.

The Pentagon announced contracts worth up to $200 million each with four AI companies last summer: Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and Elon Musk's xAI. While Anthropic operates on classified systems, the other three companies currently work only in unclassified environments, with officials saying they have shown more openness to Pentagon demands.

The Pentagon announced contracts worth up to $200 million each with four AI companies last summer: Anthropic, Google, OpenAI and Elon Musk's xAI. While Anthropic operates on classified systems, the other three companies currently work only in unclassified environments, with officials saying they have shown more openness to Pentagon demands.

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