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Snapshot 7:Fri, Feb 20, 2026 8:52:15 AM GMT last edited by Kani

US Sanctions Sudan RSF Commanders Over El-Fasher Siege

US Sanctions Sudan RSF Commanders Over El-Fasher Siege

Above: A displaced Sudanese woman who fled El-Fasher after the city fell to the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), sits in her makeshift shelter in the Um Yanqur camp, located on the southwestern edge of Tawila, in war-torn Sudan's western Darfur region, Nov. 3, 2025. Image credit: AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

The U.S. sanctions on RSF's takeovercommanders ofover atrocities in El -Fasher wasn'tconfirm justwhat anotherthe battlerecord already itshows: wasan genocide. An 18-month siege that deliberately starved civilians, beforeblocked masshumanitarian killingsaid, systematicand rapeculminated andin torturemass targetedkillings of Zaghawa and Fur communities basedconstitutes solelygenocidal onaction, ethnicitynot battlefield excess. RSFSystematic fightersexecutions, openlywidespread declaredsexual theirviolence, intentforced displacement, and fighters vowing to "eliminate "anything black from Darfur," andreflect commandersan filmedorganized themselvescampaign executingof unarmedethnic civilians,destruction provingrather thisthan wasthe adisorder coordinatedof exterminationconventional campaignwarfare.

TheU.S. sanctions on RSF commandercommanders hasover apologizedEl-Fasher formark a diplomatic escalation, as the tragedyviolence inunfolded Elamid Fasherchaotic urban warfare and committedstate collapse rather than a centrally directed genocidal plan. The commander apologized and pledged to holdingpunish accountable those who harmed civilians., Accountabilityannouncing investigative committees. areLabeling beingthe formedevents togenocide investigaterisks allegeda abuses,one-sided demonstratingreading institutionalof responsibility.a Meanwhile,conflict in which the Sudanese Armed Forces continuealso theirface ownaccusations of systematic attacks on civilians, including massacring women and children killed while gathering water during Ramadan.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 32% chance that there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0