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Snapshot 5:Wed, Feb 18, 2026 2:58:30 PM GMT last edited by Edward

Chikungunya Virus Spreads to Europe Amid Rising Cases

Chikungunya Virus Spreads to Europe Amid Rising Cases

Above: A worker fumigates trees to prevent the spread of chikungunya in Nice, southern France, on Oct. 10, 2025. Image credit: VALERY HACHE/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

Europe faces an alarming expansion of the chikungunya riskvirus as new research reveals the virus spreads at temperatures as low as 13 degrees Celsius°C, far below previous estimates. TheClimate Asianchange tiger mosquito is marchingexacerbating northwardthis through warming European nationsrisk, withcreating recordideal outbreaksconditions alreadyfor hittingthe Francemosquitoes andthat Italytransmit in 2025. Climate change is creating ideal conditions for this invasivedisease species to establish in the UKEurope, threatening public health across regions previously considered safe from tropical diseases.

Chikungunya'sWhile 2025the surgechikungunya stemsvirus fromposes interconnectedan globalincreasing factorsrisk beyondto simpleEurope, temperatureindividuals thresholds,must withnot theforget Americasthat bearing the heaviestdisease burdenis anda Brazilglobal experiencingthreat theacross greatest impact. Viral adaptationAfrica, urbanizationAsia and internationalthe travelAmericas. driveIn transmissionthese moreregions significantlyand thanothers, climate alone,change asis demonstratednot bythe geneticonly mutationsdriver enablingof newthe vectorvirus; efficiency.viral Comprehensiveadaptation mosquitoand managementinternational andtravel vaccinealso deploymentplay offersignificant proven solutionsroles, whilenecessitating China'sa aggressiveglobal multi-strategyand collaborative response showsto effectivetackle outbreakthe control is achievabledisease.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 69% chance that humanity will use a gene drive to wipe out at least one species of mosquito from the face of the Earth by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0