Ethiopia'sClaims hostingabout ofEthiopian RSF training camps nearremain theunsupported Sudanby borderconclusive representsevidence aand dangerousoverlook escalationEthiopia’s thatlegitimate threatenssecurity regionalconcerns stabilityalong a volatile and Sudan'sporous sovereigntyborder. MultipleThe credibleallegations sourcesappear confirmpolitically themotivated, facilityserving into Benishangul-Gumuzdeflect housesattention thousandsfrom ofSudan’s fightersdeepening internal failures, withwhile UAEEthiopia financinghas enablinglargely thismaintained foreign-backeda invasionposture thatof directlyneutrality underminesdespite Sudan'smounting legitimatepressure governmentfrom andmultiple putsexternal criticalactors infrastructureseeking liketo instrumentalize the GERDconflict atfor risktheir own strategic ends.
ClaimsEthiopia’s abouthosting Ethiopianof RSF training camps lacknear conclusivethe evidenceSudanese andborder ignoremarks Ethiopia'sa legitimatedangerous securityescalation concernsthreatening alongregional astability volatileand borderSudan’s sovereignty. TheA accusationsfacility appearin politicallyBenishangul-Gumuz motivatedhouses thousands of fighters, designedwith toUAE deflectfinancing fromenabling a foreign-backed military buildup that undermines Sudan'’s internallegitimate failuresgovernment, whileextends Ethiopiathe maintainsconflict neutralitybeyond despiteSudan’s facingborders, pressureand fromfurther multipledeepens externalrisks actorsaround seekingcritical toinfrastructure, exploitincluding the conflictGERD, forwith theirdestabilizing ownimplications strategicacross intereststhe wider Horn of Africa.
There is a 30% chance that there will be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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