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Monetary policy decisions

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Bank of England holds rates steady at 3.75% in knife-edge vote

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Monetary Policy Report - February 2026

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The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee voted by a majority of 5-4 to maintain Bank Rate at 3.75% on February 5, 2026, with four members voting to reduce the rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.5%.

The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee voted by a majority of 5-4 to maintain Bank Rate at 3.75% on February 5, 2026, with four members voting to reduce the rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.5%.

CPI inflation in the UK was 3.4% in December 2025 and is expected to fall back to around the 2% target from April 2026, owing to developments in energy prices including measures from Budget 2025.

CPI inflation in the UK was 3.4% in December 2025 and is expected to fall back to around the 2% target from April 2026, owing to developments in energy prices including measures from Budget 2025.

The Bank of England downgraded its UK GDP growth forecast for 2026 from 1.2% to 0.9% and raised its unemployment rate projection to peak at 5.3% in the first half of 2026, up from a previous estimate of 5.1%.

The Bank of England downgraded its UK GDP growth forecast for 2026 from 1.2% to 0.9% and raised its unemployment rate projection to peak at 5.3% in the first half of 2026, up from a previous estimate of 5.1%.

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that if the economy evolves as expected, there should be scope for some further cuts to Bank Rate in 2026, though judgements around further policy easing will become a closer call.

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey stated that if the economy evolves as expected, there should be scope for some further cuts to Bank Rate in 2026, though judgements around further policy easing will become a closer call.

The European Central Bank kept its three key interest rates unchanged on February 5, 2026, with the deposit facility at 2.00%, reaffirming that inflation should stabilize at its 2% target in the medium term despite ongoing global trade policy uncertainty.

The European Central Bank kept its three key interest rates unchanged on February 5, 2026, with the deposit facility at 2.00%, reaffirming that inflation should stabilize at its 2% target in the medium term despite ongoing global trade policy uncertainty.

Eurozone inflation fell to 1.7% in January 2026, its lowest level since September 2024 and below the ECB's 2% target, with core inflation easing to 2.2% as energy prices declined by 4.1% year-on-year.

Eurozone inflation fell to 1.7% in January 2026, its lowest level since September 2024 and below the ECB's 2% target, with core inflation easing to 2.2% as energy prices declined by 4.1% year-on-year.

Bank of England Holds Rates at 3.75% in Split Vote

Bank of England Holds Rates at 3.75% in Split Vote

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Bank of England Holds Rates at 3.75% in Split Vote

Bank of England Holds Rates at 3.75% in Split Vote

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