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A quiet shift is underway. Artificial intelligence is advancing rapidly, while institutions struggle to keep pace. Intelligence now scales faster than governance, and capability outstrips responsibility. Abundant intelligence does not improve judgment; it paralyses it, encouraging moral outsourcing. The true risk lies not in machines but in leaders who relinquish accountability as global uncertainty grows.
There's a 50% chance that Anthropic will first report that an AI system reached or surpassed CBRN risk level 4 on Oct 16, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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