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Snapshot 6:Thu, Jan 22, 2026 9:41:23 PM GMT last edited by Nick

Trump Seeks Military Options Against Iran Amid Buildup

Trump Seeks Military Options Against Iran Amid Buildup

Trump Seeks Military Options Against Iran Amid Buildup
Above: A damaged building following protests in Tehran, Iran, on Jan. 21. Image credit: Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu/Getty Images

The Spin

Iran's brutal crackdown has killed thousands of protesters demanding freedom, and decisive military action remains necessary to support those risking their lives against a murderous regime. The USU.S. has rapidly deployed carrier strike groups, F-15Es and advanced air defenses to the region, creating real options to cripple the Revolutionary Guard's repression apparatus. Tehran's threats of retaliation and warnings about attacking Americans only confirm the regime's desperation as economic collapse fuels nationwide uprising.

Military strikes against Iran would be unnecessary and counterproductive now that sanctions and internal pressures have already weakened the regime significantly. Arab states across the region, including longtime USU.S. allies in the Gulf, are actively lobbying against American intervention because Israeli expansionism has become the primary regional threat. Bombing Iran risks igniting civil war, rallying millions to defend the Islamic Republic and destabilizing vital energy corridors through the Strait of Hormuz.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that Iran will cease to be an Islamic Republic by March 2033, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0