Versions :<123456Live

House Foreign Affairs Members Call for Elections in Venezuela

Is Trump working for democracy in Venezuela, exclusively pursuing oil deals for his own benefit or is Caracas defending national sovereignty against U.S. aggression?
House Foreign Affairs Members Call for Elections in Venezuela
Above: Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado after meeting with the U.S. House Foreign Affairs Committee on Jan. 20, 2026. Image credit: Luke Johnson/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Trump narrative

Trump's brilliant strategy uses Delcy Rodriguez as a puppet to do the dirty work of dismantling the Chavista regime from within, without boots on the ground or nation-building chaos, while preventing the Machado-led opposition from facing dangerous establishment resistance that could create a failed state in Venezuela. Trump wants Venezuela to be a democracy, but first he must force corrupt insiders to purge their own ranks and clear the path for real democracy.

Anti-Trump narrative

Trump only wants oil access and geopolitical leverage, not democratic renewal, so Machado faces a serious risk of being sidelined as the U.S. and Maduro loyalists reach deals without opposition involvement. It's urgent for the opposition to mobilize mass protests with achievable goals, emancipate itself from U.S. interests and form an international bloc with other democratic countries. Otherwise, the Chavista will continue in power in Venezuela.

Pro-Maduro narrative

Rodríguez has reasserted Venezuela's sovereignty, confronting U.S. aggression while preserving national stability. As opposition figures chase foreign patrons and stage legitimacy, the Bolivarian government governs, protects strategic resources and defends peace — proving that Venezuela's future is decided in Caracas, not in U.S. backrooms.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 14.6% chance that Venezuela will announce a presidential election before April 1, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO



© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0