Trump’s push for Greenland is about securing the Arctic for Western defense and keeping China and Russia from dominating the region. The U.S., long a protector of Europe and the Western Hemisphere, is acting in a Thucydides Trap — responding to rising challengers, not causing instability. Greenland, part of North America and a core U.S. security interest, is key to controlling strategic chokepoints like the GIUK Gap. NATO’s own chief admits the West is fortunate to have Trump advocatingpushing for itthis, and Davos is starting to see that realism, not ideology, must guide Arctic policy.
Trump’s Greenland obsession isn’t about defense — it’s raw American coercion, threatening allies and undermining NATO. Davos leaders like Macron warn against this new “colonial” impulse, and Carney calls out the collapse of the rules-based order. Greenlanders deserve self-determination, not being pawns in a transactional “America First” stunt. Middle powers must unite, resist unilateral U.S. overreach and rebuild multilateral frameworks to protect sovereignty, stability and the global rules that Trump is shredding.
There is a 19% chance Greenland will become independent before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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