The New York Times

Trump Military Spending Budget.Html

CBS News

Trump proposes massive increase in 2027 defense spending to $1.5 trillion, citing

South China Morning Post

Trump calls for US$1.5 trillion in military spending, citing dangerous times

Metaculus

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

Breaking Defense

5% GDP: Top SASC Republican pitches dramatic jump in defense spending, $55B more in FY25

Facebook

Senatormikerounds

Military adventures cost money: Economists key concern about Trumps Venezuela action is how it weakens $38.5 trillion national debt picture

Crfb

$1.5 Trillion Military Budget Would Add $5.8 Trillion to Debt Over Decade-2026-01-07

The Telegraph

Trump Squeezes Defence Industry In New Arms Race

Breitbart

Trump Calls for $1.5 Trillion to Build Dream Military, Pay Down Debt, Give Dividend to Moderate Income Patriots

Bloomberg Law News

Trump Seeks 50 Boost In Annual Defense Budget To 1 5 Trillion

Trump threatens defense contractors with restrictions while promising sharp increase in spending

Financial Times

Donald Trump calls for 50% increase in US defence spending by 2027

Guardian

Trump says he plans crackdown on defense firms over executive pay and stock buybacks

Daily Caller

Trump Demands Record $1.5 Trillion Defense Spending To Build ‘Dream Military’

The Denver Post

Trump proposes massive increase in 2027 defense spending to $1.5T, citing dangerous times

The Washington Times

Trump Proposes Massive Increase Defense Spending 15 Trillion

Politico

Trump Calls Record Defense Budget 00715298

DefenseScoop

Trump calls for $1.5T in defense spending in 2027, issues new executive order on contracting

Lloyd Austin

Mark Milley

Mike Minihan

Jacob Thornburg

Michael Brenner

Finian Cunningham

Scott Ritter

Ray Dalio

Kevin Rudd

Zhao Tong

Stanislaw Koziej

Robert S. Ross

Charles C. Krulak

Michael C. Horowitz

Joseph S. Nye

Qin Gang

Frank Kendall III

Thomas L. Friedman

Marco J. Lyons

Global Times

"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

Donald Trump

Joe Biden

Atlantic Council

Negar Mortazavi

J Street

Abbas Araghchi

Michael Rubin

Daniel Shapiro

Kenneth Katzman

Alexander Langlois

Jim Lobe

Jean-Noel Barrot

Mohammed Ghaedi

Beto O Rourke

Ray Takeyh

Douglas London

SpecialEurasia

Ray McGovern

"Despite the heightened tensions, a full-scale war [between the U.S. and Iran] remains unlikely in the immediate term."

"Trump has been clear in his desire to resolve the issue diplomatically and avoid war [with Iran] in the Middle East."

"Despite all the hysteria of war, I'm not really seeing that on the horizon."

"It is highly unlikely that Trump will bomb Iran, not least because he vowed on the presidential campaign trail not to drag the United States into a war."

"The potential of some kind of conflict with Iran escalating into a larger regional war is very real, possibly more real than ever."

"The United States now seems close to a direct conflict that Biden (and Iran) have worked hard to avoid."

"[A] full-scale war is hardly inevitable."

"If they [Iran] don't make a deal [with the US], there will be bombing."

Will There Be a US-Iran War?

Elon Musk

YouGov

Lindsey Graham

Aleksandar Vucic

Patrick Sanders

MIRA Safety

Jack Keane

Jonathan Saxty

Denys Shmyhal

Tobias Ellwood

Michael C. Desch

Fyodor Lukyanov

Daily Mail

"We're on a pathway [to a third world war]."

"World War III is on its way."

"Another world war is likely to occur within the next 5-10 years."

"We're gonna have World War III."

"We are sleepwalking our way into World War III with one foolish decision after the other."

The Russia-Ukraine conflict "could lead to World War III, very easily."

Will There Be World War III?

President Trump proposed increasing the U.S. military budget for fiscal year 2027 to $1.5 trillion, representing more than a 50% increase from the current $901 billion budget. Trump stated the increase would enable the country to build a "Dream Military" during what he described as "troubled and dangerous times."

President Trump proposed increasing the U.S. military budget for fiscal year 2027 to $1.5 trillion, representing more than a 50% increase from the current $901 billion budget. Trump stated the increase would enable the country to build a "Dream Military" during what he described as "troubled and dangerous times."

Trump claimed the proposed $600 billion increase in defense spending could be funded through tariff revenue. The U.S. government collected $288.5 billion in tariff revenue in 2025, up from $98.3 billion in 2024, though this falls short of covering the proposed increase and other promised expenditures.

Trump claimed the proposed $600 billion increase in defense spending could be funded through tariff revenue. The U.S. government collected $288.5 billion in tariff revenue in 2025, up from $98.3 billion in 2024, though this falls short of covering the proposed increase and other promised expenditures.

The president announced restrictions on defense contractors, stating he would not permit stock buybacks or dividends and would cap executive compensation at $5 million annually until companies accelerate equipment production and invest in new facilities.

The president announced restrictions on defense contractors, stating he would not permit stock buybacks or dividends and would cap executive compensation at $5 million annually until companies accelerate equipment production and invest in new facilities.

Trump specifically threatened Raytheon, stating the company would no longer do business with the Department of War unless it increased investment in plants and equipment and ended stock buybacks. Raytheon manufactures missiles including the Tomahawk, Javelin and Stinger.

Trump specifically threatened Raytheon, stating the company would no longer do business with the Department of War unless it increased investment in plants and equipment and ended stock buybacks. Raytheon manufactures missiles including the Tomahawk, Javelin and Stinger.

Defense contractor stock prices declined following Trump's announcements, with Northrop Grumman dropping 5.5%, Lockheed Martin falling 4.8% and RTX Corp. slipping 2.5%. The CEOs of major defense firms received compensation ranging from $18 million to over $24 million in fiscal year 2024.

Defense contractor stock prices declined following Trump's announcements, with Northrop Grumman dropping 5.5%, Lockheed Martin falling 4.8% and RTX Corp. slipping 2.5%. The CEOs of major defense firms received compensation ranging from $18 million to over $24 million in fiscal year 2024.

The proposed defense budget increase comes after Trump ordered military operations to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and threatened potential military action regarding Greenland. Republican lawmakers previously criticized Trump's earlier $1 trillion defense proposal as insufficient.

The proposed defense budget increase comes after Trump ordered military operations to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and threatened potential military action regarding Greenland. Republican lawmakers previously criticized Trump's earlier $1 trillion defense proposal as insufficient.

The New York Times #

CBS News #16

South China Morning Post #

Metaculus #

Breaking Defense #

Facebook #

AOL #

Crfb #

The Telegraph #

Breitbart #

Bloomberg Law News #

CNN #

Financial Times #

Guardian #3963

Daily Caller #17

The Denver Post #

The Washington Times #

Politico #

DefenseScoop #

US Foreign Military Interventions

Trump proposes massive increase in 2027 defense spending to $1.5T, citing ‘dangerous times’

Trump proposes massive increase in 2027 defense spending to $1.5T, citing ‘dangerous times’

Economic conditions & trends

Military spending

United States of America