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Snapshot 7:Wed, Dec 24, 2025 5:28:08 AM GMT last edited by Vandita

Thailand, Cambodia Set for Christmas Eve Ceasefire Talks

Thailand, Cambodia Set for Christmas Eve Ceasefire Talks

Is Thailand obstructing peace with impossible demands, or is Cambodia undermining ceasefires with continued attacks?
Thailand, Cambodia Set for Christmas Eve Ceasefire Talks
Above: Cambodians participating in a rally in Seoul on Dec. 14, 2025, demanding that Thailand stop attacking Cambodia. Image credit: Kim Jae-Hwan/SOPA Images/LightRocket/Getty Images

The Spin

Cambodia demonstrated a steadfast commitment to peace by promptly accepting all four ceasefire appeals, including three from Malaysia, while Thailand refused to halt hostilities, exposing Bangkok's unwillingness to pursue peace. Thailand's refusal to accept a ceasefire demonstrates a clear pattern of escalation rather than de-escalation. The evidence is undeniable — Cambodia stands ready for unconditional peace while Thailand sets impossible preconditions.

Thailand rightfully demands proof over promises after Cambodia failed to explain eight landmine injuries to Thai soldiers, including incidents after peace declarations were signed. Cambodia talks ceasefire with everyone except Thailand directly, making implementation impossible, while simultaneously launching heavy weapons attacks on Thai civilian homes during diplomatic talks. Bangkok's insistence on verifiable conditions isn't an obstruction but necessary caution.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 0.1% chance that conflict between Thailand and Cambodia will result in 500 deaths from March 28 to Dec. 31, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0