Thailand, Cambodia Set for Christmas Eve Ceasefire Talks

Is Thailand obstructing peace with impossible demands, or is Cambodia undermining ceasefires with continued attacks?

Published 1 day ago·Updated 15 hours ago

Thailand, Cambodia Set for Christmas Eve Ceasefire Talks

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Above: Cambodians participating in a rally in Seoul on Dec. 14, 2025, demanding that Thailand stop attacking Cambodia. Image credit: Kim Jae-Hwan/SOPA Images/LightRocket/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-Cambodia narrative

Cambodia demonstrated a steadfast commitment to peace by promptly accepting all four ceasefire appeals, including three from Malaysia, while Thailand refused to halt hostilities, exposing Bangkok's unwillingness to pursue peace. Thailand's refusal to accept a ceasefire demonstrates a clear pattern of escalation rather than de-escalation. The evidence is undeniable — Cambodia stands ready for unconditional peace while Thailand sets impossible preconditions.

Cambodianess CamboJA News

Pro-Thailand narrative

Thailand rightfully demands proof over promises after Cambodia failed to explain eight landmine injuries to Thai soldiers, including incidents after peace declarations were signed. Cambodia talks ceasefire with everyone except Thailand directly, making implementation impossible, while simultaneously launching heavy weapons attacks on Thai civilian homes during diplomatic talks. Bangkok's insistence on verifiable conditions isn't an obstruction but necessary caution.

Thai Examiner

The Diplomat on X

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 0.1% chance that conflict between Thailand and Cambodia will result in 500 deaths from March 28 to Dec. 31, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.