El Salvador: MS-13 Member Sentenced to More Than a Thousand Years in Prison

Do extreme sentences disincentivize gang activity, or are they only masking secret deals with gang leaders?
El Salvador: MS-13 Member Sentenced to More Than a Thousand Years in Prison
Above: Inmates return to their cell after a medical checkup at El Salvador's CECOT on Dec. 15, 2025. Image credit: John Moore/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-government narrative

Extreme sentences like this one send an unmistakable message that violent gang members will never again terrorize Salvadoran communities. These punishments ensure permanent incapacitation of terrorists who held entire neighborhoods hostage for decades, finally matching judicial severity with the toughness needed to dismantle criminal networks. Homicides have plummeted to historic lows, proving that maximum punitive force does work.

Government-critical narrative

Lengthy sentences mask the reality that top gang leaders remain untouched through secret deals with the Bukele administration dating back to 2019. Prison intelligence and government documents reveal direct negotiations between officials and MS-13 and Barrio 18 leaders, offering financial incentives and prison perks in exchange for reduced violence. Drug flows continue increasing while kingpins get privileges as thousands of innocents and pawns rot in jail.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 7% chance that Nayib Bukele will rule El Salvador for life, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Public Figures


The Controversies



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO



© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0