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Snapshot 2:Tue, Dec 16, 2025 2:41:54 PM GMT last edited by ArthursSeat22

Trump Says Russia-Ukraine Peace Deal Closest It's Been

Trump Says Russia-Ukraine Peace Deal Closest It's Been

Is the U.S. leader right or is there still some way to go before a settlement is reached?
Trump Says Russia-Ukraine Peace Deal Closest It's Been
Above: European leaders alongside Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner in Berlin, on Dec. 15. Image credit: Kay Nietfeld/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

The U.S. has had long talks with Ukrainian and European officials about a peace settlement with Russia and the countries are now the closest they've been to securing a deal. Hopefully it will not be long before this is achieved.

These talks with the U.S. have not been easy for Ukraine. However, they have been productive and plenty of progress was made. Frankly speaking, Ukraine still has a different point of view on the issue of territory but it is hoped these matters will be settled to achieve a real peace.

WhileThe MoscowU.S. has seenhad newslong reports,talks itwith hasUkrainian yetand toEuropean beofficials updatedabout ona thepeace issuesettlement ofwith securityRussia guaranteesand or the widercountries stateare ofnow negotiationsthe byclosest U.S.they've officials.been Itto willsecuring waita fordeal. theseHopefully mattersit towill not be officiallylong communicated before offeringthis additionalis commentaryachieved.

There'sThese atalks 50%with chancethe thereU.S. willhave benot abeen bilateraleasy ceasefirefor orUkraine. peaceHowever, agreementthey betweenhave Russiabeen productive and Ukraineplenty byof Aprilprogress 2027was made. Frankly speaking, accordingUkraine tostill has a different point of view on the Metaculusissue predictionof communityterritory but it is hoped these matters will be settled to achieve a real peace.

While Moscow has seen news reports, it has yet to be updated on the issue of security guarantees or the wider state of negotiations by U.S. officials. It will wait for these matters to be officially communicated before offering additional commentary.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by April 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Editor's Note

This story currently has limited reporting from right-leaning sources. We will continue to monitor all major outlets and update our coverage as additional perspectives become available.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0