The Chosun Daily

Pentagon Report: U.S. Vulnerable in Taiwan Conflict

Independent

Top secret US report warns American forces would be drastically outmatched by China

Dalzell60

The New York Times

Opinion | Overmatched: Why the U.S. Military Must Reinvent Itself

Youtube

- YouTube

caitoz

The Husain Signal

the overmatch brief

The Telegraph

China Will Destroy Us Military Fight Over Taiwan

Hindustan Times

China will destroy and defeat US in possible war over Taiwan, top-secret Pentagon document warns

Taipei Times

US military might waning, editorial says

FOX News

US could burn through key missiles in 'a week' if war with China erupts, top security expert warns

Daily Mail

Economist

The War Room Newsletter A Truly Radical Document

National Security Journal

China Can Sink the Navy’s $13,000,000,000 Ford-Class Aircraft Carrier

Taiwan News

NYT editorial says Pentagon war games show US risks defeat in Taiwan conflict

La Voce di New York

Secret Report Warns: China Would Outmatch the U.S. in a War Over Taiwan

Metaculus

US-China War by 2027

Donald Trump

Tsai Ing-wen

CSIS

Marco Rubio

Ian Bremmer

Michael McCaul

Ministry of National Defense of Taiwan

Bonnie S. Glaser

Mark Milley

Charles Glaser

Denny Roy

Mike Studeman

Oriana Skylar Mastro

Henry Olsen

Lyle Goldstein

Bates Gill

Minghao Zhao

Joseph Wu

Jessica Chen Weiss

Global Guardian

FischerKing

CounterPoint Global

Kerry Brown

Adithia Kusno

Palmer Luckey

Ely Ratner

Philip Davidson

"China has zero interest to invade Taiwan and has never threatened to invade Taiwan."

“I think we’ll be just fine with China. China doesn’t want to do that [invade Taiwan].”

"There's no indications or warnings of anything imminent [China attacking Taiwan] at this time."

a P.L.A. takeover of Taiwan is not inevitable nor, perhaps, even likely in the next few years."

"I wouldn't say war is likely in the next few years, but I wouldn't say it's unlikely over the next couple of decades."

"I think they (the Chinese) have intention, but absolutely I think we can get to the end of this decade without them committing major aggression against Taiwan."

"[T]here might indeed be some greater willingness by Beijing to coerce (or even invade) Taiwan during a Trump administration."

"An invasion of Taiwan could happen within this decade."

"Global Guardian thinks that the window for conflict or a blockade is now open, with that window most likely remaining open between 2024 and 2028."

"The idea is that anything we are working on, anything that we are investing in, needs to be built with the assumption that sometime in 2027, China is going to move on Taiwan."

“Taiwan is clearly one of [China's] ambitions before that and I think the threat is manifest during this decade — in fact, in the next six years.”

Will China Invade Taiwan by 2030?

Lloyd Austin

Mike Minihan

Jacob Thornburg

Michael Brenner

Finian Cunningham

Scott Ritter

Ray Dalio

Kevin Rudd

Zhao Tong

Stanislaw Koziej

Robert S. Ross

Charles C. Krulak

Michael C. Horowitz

Joseph S. Nye

Qin Gang

Frank Kendall III

Thomas L. Friedman

Marco J. Lyons

Global Times

"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

Defense analyst Seth Jones stated that the United States could exhaust key long-range missiles after roughly a week of conflict over Taiwan, while a classified Pentagon assessment known as the Overmatch Brief warned that China possesses the capability to destroy advanced American weapons before they reach Taiwan.

Defense analyst Seth Jones stated that the United States could exhaust key long-range missiles after roughly a week of conflict over Taiwan, while a classified Pentagon assessment known as the Overmatch Brief warned that China possesses the capability to destroy advanced American weapons before they reach Taiwan.

The USS Gerald R. Ford, a $13 billion aircraft carrier that entered service in 2022, is frequently destroyed in Pentagon war game simulations, with the vessel proving vulnerable to diesel-electric submarines and China's arsenal of approximately 600 hypersonic missiles capable of traveling at five times the speed of sound.

The USS Gerald R. Ford, a $13 billion aircraft carrier that entered service in 2022, is frequently destroyed in Pentagon war game simulations, with the vessel proving vulnerable to diesel-electric submarines and China's arsenal of approximately 600 hypersonic missiles capable of traveling at five times the speed of sound.

China's shipbuilding sector is approximately 230 times the size of the United States, according to defense analyst Seth Jones, while the Pentagon's Overmatch Brief indicates that Beijing has amassed significant advantages in cruise and ballistic missiles compared to American stockpiles.

China's shipbuilding sector is approximately 230 times the size of the United States, according to defense analyst Seth Jones, while the Pentagon's Overmatch Brief indicates that Beijing has amassed significant advantages in cruise and ballistic missiles compared to American stockpiles.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated in November that the United States loses every time in Pentagon war games against China over Taiwan, while internal assessments indicate American forces would suffer heavy losses including more than 100 fifth-generation aircraft and multiple destroyers.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth stated in November that the United States loses every time in Pentagon war games against China over Taiwan, while internal assessments indicate American forces would suffer heavy losses including more than 100 fifth-generation aircraft and multiple destroyers.

United States defense spending currently stands at approximately 3.4 percent of GDP, the lowest level in 80 years, while the classified Pentagon report emphasizes that global resource mobilization and increased allied defense spending are necessary to respond to expanding Chinese military capabilities.

United States defense spending currently stands at approximately 3.4 percent of GDP, the lowest level in 80 years, while the classified Pentagon report emphasizes that global resource mobilization and increased allied defense spending are necessary to respond to expanding Chinese military capabilities.

The Volt Typhoon hacking group, reportedly backed by China, has placed malware into computer systems controlling power networks, communication lines and water services for American military bases, potentially threatening the ability to equip and staff forces during a Pacific crisis.

The Volt Typhoon hacking group, reportedly backed by China, has placed malware into computer systems controlling power networks, communication lines and water services for American military bases, potentially threatening the ability to equip and staff forces during a Pacific crisis.

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The US-China Conflict

Top secret war document reveals China would crush the US and 'destroy' the world's largest aircraft carrier

US Loses Every Taiwan War Game Against China: Pentagon

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US Loses Every Taiwan War Game Against China: Pentagon

TopUS secretLoses warEvery documentTaiwan revealsWar ChinaGame wouldAgainst crushChina: the US and 'destroy' the world's largest aircraft carrierPentagon

The Controversies

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Trump

Milley

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