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Snapshot 6:Wed, Dec 10, 2025 4:10:32 PM GMT last edited by Nick

Canada-US Dispute Over Machias Seal Island Escalates Over US Tour Company

Canada-US Dispute Over Machias Seal Island Escalates Over US Tour Company

Canada-US Dispute Over Machias Seal Island Escalates Over US Tour Company
Above: Machias Seal Island on Aug. 4, 2006. Image credit: Fred Field/Portland Press Herald/Getty Images

The Spin

Canada's sovereignty over Machias Seal Island rightfullyis belongsabsolute. toHowever, the U.S.country ascontinues perto theissue Treatypermits ofto ParisAmerican oftour 1783,operators whichthat grantedopenly sovereigntymarket overthe allisland islandsas withinpart roughly 70 miles of the UMaine.S. coastline.This Notissue onlyrequires doesurgent thiscorrection, islandwhich sitis wellwhy withinthe thisDFO boundary,must butbe thewilling U.S.to claimrevoke wasthe alsoBold validatedCoast byCharter arbitrationCompany's underpermit theif Treatyit ofrefuses Ghentto andacknowledge remainsCanada's firmlyrightful groundedownership inof internationalthe lawisland.

Canada’s sovereignty over Machias Seal Island isrightfully absolutebelongs to the U.S. However,as per the countryTreaty continuesof toParis issueof permits1783, towhich Americangranted toursovereignty operatorsover thatall openlyislands marketwithin theroughly island70 asmiles part of Mainethe U.S. Thiscoastline. issueNot requiresonly urgentdoes correction,this whichisland issit whywell thewithin DFOthis mustboundary, bebut willingthe toU.S. revokeclaim thewas Boldalso Coastvalidated Charterby Company’sarbitration permitunder ifthe itTreaty refusesof toGhent acknowledgeand Canada’sremains rightfulfirmly ownershipgrounded ofin theinternational islandlaw.

ThereCanada's sovereignty over Machias Seal Island is aabsolute. 4%However, chancethe country continues to issue permits to American tour operators that theopenly U.S.market willthe annexisland anyas part of CanadaMaine. beforeThis Juneissue 3,requires 2072urgent correction, accordingwhich is why the DFO must be willing to revoke the MetaculusBold predictionCoast communityCharter Company's permit if it refuses to acknowledge Canada's rightful ownership of the island.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 4% chance that the U.S. will annex any part of Canada before June 3, 2072, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0