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Benin: ECOWAS Deploys Forces After Foiled Coup Attempt

Benin: ThwartsECOWAS MilitaryDeploys Forces After Foiled Coup Attempt

Benin: ECOWAS Deploys Forces After Foiled Coup Attempt
Above: Patrice Talon at the Benin House Museum in Salvador, Bahia, Brazil, on May 25, 2024. Image credit: Rafaela Araújo and Rafaela Araújo/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

TheECOWAS attemptrightfully tocondemned unseatthe Talonunconstitutional wasmilitary atakeover recklessattempt assaultthat onthreatened aBenin's functioning democratic order.institutions Aand smalldeployed groupforces ofto soldiersdefend brieflyconstitutional seizedorder. stateThe television,coup claimingplotters' authorityactions withoutrepresented publica backing,dangerous andsubversion attemptedof to draw Benin into the Sahelpeople's cyclewill ofin coups.a Loyalcountry forcesthat restoredhas controlmaintained withindemocratic hours,stability showingfor institutionsdecades, stilland hold.swift Thisintervention wasby noloyalist attemptforces atbacked reform,by butregional asupport destabilizingsuccessfully powerprotected grabBenin's thatterritorial riskedintegrity stability, elections, and theconstitutional hard-won calm that Beninese citizens had worked to preserveframework.

The soldiers who declared Talon removed acted because democratic channels in Benin had collapsed. Years of shrinking political space, mistrust in electoral reforms, and rising frustration inside the ranks made a rupture inevitable. Their intervention framed itself as a correction to a leadership that ignored security and accountability. In this view, the broadcast on state TV was not treason but a last resort to reclaim sovereignty from an entrenched and unresponsive France-backed puppet regime.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 74% chance that there will be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before March 1, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0