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Benin Thwarts Military Coup Attempt

Benin Thwarts Military Coup Attempt

Benin Thwarts Military Coup Attempt
Above: Patrice Talon at the Benin House Museum in Salvador, Bahia, Brazil, on May 25, 2024. Image credit: Rafaela Araújo and Rafaela Araújo/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

The attempt to unseat President Talon was a reckless assault on a functioning democratic order. A small group of soldiers briefly seized state television, claiming authority without public backing, and attempted to draw Benin into the Sahel's cycle of coups cycle. Loyal forces restored control within hours, showing institutions still hold. This was no attempt at reform, but a destabilizing power grab that risked stability, elections, and the hard-won calm that Beninese citizens had worked to preserve.

The soldiers who declared Talon removed acted because democratic channels in Benin had collapsed. Years of shrinking political space, mistrust in electoral reforms, and rising frustration inside the ranks made a rupture inevitable. Their intervention framed itself as a correction to a leadership that ignored security and accountability. In this view, the broadcast on state TV was not treason but a last resort to reclaim sovereignty from an entrenched and unresponsive France-backed puppet regime.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 74% chance that there will be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before March 1, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.18.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0