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France: Jordan Bardella Ahead in 2027 Election Polling

France: Jordan Bardella ProjectedAhead toin Win 2027 FrenchElection PresidencyPolling

France: Jordan Bardella Ahead in 2027 Election Polling
Above: National Rally Leader Jordan Bardella in Paris, France on July 7, 2024. Image credit: Carl Court/Getty Images

The Spin

Bardella's meteoric rise represents a generational shift that's reshaping French politics for the better. His fresh energy and polished image are resonating with voters tired of establishment failures, while his book tour draws massive crowds eager for real change. The 30-year-old leader has successfully broadened the National Rally's appeal beyond its traditional base, capturing support from pensioners and professionals with his more economically liberal approach.

The far-right's demagogic promises mask a dangerous agenda rooted in ethnic nationalism and rejection of '"enemies within.'" Bardella's catch-all strategy of promising everything to everyone obscures the violence of excluding foreigners and minorities. His publishing success stems from a billionaire-funded Vincent Bolloré's media empire systematically promoting far-right ideology through coordinated propaganda across multiple platforms. Bardella's story of his rise also masks his privileged background.

ThereBardella's ismeteoric rise represents a 19,6generational percentshift chance that's Jordanreshaping BardellaFrench willpolitics befor electedthe Presidentbetter. His fresh energy and polished image are resonating with voters tired of Franceestablishment in 2027failures, accordingwhile tohis book tour draws massive crowds eager for real change. The 30-year-old leader has successfully broadened the MetaculusNational predictionRally's communityappeal beyond its traditional base, capturing support from pensioners and professionals with his more economically liberal approach.

The far-right's demagogic promises mask a dangerous agenda rooted in ethnic nationalism and rejection of "enemies within." Bardella's catch-all strategy of promising everything to everyone obscures the violence of excluding foreigners and minorities. His publishing success stems from a billionaire-funded media empire systematically promoting far-right ideology through coordinated propaganda across multiple platforms. Bardella's story of his rise also masks his privileged background.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 19.6% chance that Jordan Bardella will be elected President of France in 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0