European Central Bank

Supervisory priorities 2026-28

The Epoch Times

European Banks Face Unprecedentedly High Shock Risk: ECB

Euro Weekly News

ECB Warns Banks of Unprecedented Shocks

RTE.ie

Europe's banks face 'unprecedentedly high' risk of shocks

Reuters

Europe's banks face 'unprecedentedly high' risk of shocks, ECB warns

MarioNawfal

Stress tests in uncertain times: assessing banks resilience to external shocks

Metaculus

Magnificent Seven bubble pops?

Jerome Powell

Oxford Economics

Torsten Sløk

Kristina Hooper

U. S. Chamber of Commerce

S&P Global

Goldman Sachs

Howard Lutnick

Polymarket

Peter Berezin

Olu Sonola

Samy Chaar

American Bankers Association

Joseph Brusuelas

Wells Fargo

James Doti

Michael Gapen

William J. Luther 

Matt Schoeppner

John Hussman

Bruce Kasman

Bernard Markstein

Yelena Maleyev

Mike Englund

Steven Hanke

Mark Zandi

Paul Gruenwald

Neil Shearing

Brian Moynihan

J.P. Morgan

Larry Summers

"We believe there will be no recession in 2025."

The likelihood of a recession is "getting close to 50-50."

"Barring an unforeseeable event, the economy should grow even better in 2025 than it did in 2023 and 2024."

"The threat of a recession is real."

"Contrary to popular perception, the US is at greater risk of a recession than it was in early 2022."

Will the US Go into Recession in 2025?

The European Central Bank announced its supervisory priorities for 2026-28, warning that global uncertainties have reached exceptional levels and banks must prepare for unprecedented shocks with severe disruptions.</span

The European Central Bank announced its supervisory priorities for 2026-28, warning that global uncertainties have reached exceptional levels and banks must prepare for unprecedented shocks with severe disruptions.

The ECB identified geopolitical tensions, shifting trade policies, climate crises, demographic change and technological disruptions as factors making extreme low-probability events unprecedentedly likely.</span

The ECB identified geopolitical tensions, shifting trade policies, climate crises, demographic change and technological disruptions as factors making extreme low-probability events unprecedentedly likely.

Banks currently maintain strong fundamentals with solid capital positions, stable asset quality and resilient profitability, with overall Common Equity Tier 1 capital requirements remaining steady at 11.2% for 2026.</span

Banks currently maintain strong fundamentals with solid capital positions, stable asset quality and resilient profitability, with overall Common Equity Tier 1 capital requirements remaining steady at 11.2% for 2026.

The ECB plans to conduct a reverse stress test in 2026 where supervisors will set capital depletion levels and require banks to design scenarios that could realistically push them to those breaking points.</span

The ECB plans to conduct a reverse stress test in 2026 where supervisors will set capital depletion levels and require banks to design scenarios that could realistically push them to those breaking points.

US-EU trade tensions pose significant downside risks that could affect automotive, chemical and pharmaceutical sectors with high export volumes to the United States, potentially causing asset quality to decline.</span

US-EU trade tensions pose significant downside risks that could affect automotive, chemical and pharmaceutical sectors with high export volumes to the United States, potentially causing asset quality to decline.

The ECB emphasized that banks must strengthen operational resilience and ICT capabilities while implementing new Digital Operational Resilience Act requirements, particularly for cybersecurity and third-party risk management.</span

The ECB emphasized that banks must strengthen operational resilience and ICT capabilities while implementing new Digital Operational Resilience Act requirements, particularly for cybersecurity and third-party risk management.

ECB Warns Banks: Prepare for Unprecedented Global Shocks

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The Controversies

Sløk

Summers

Commerce

Sonola

Berezin

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