Snapshot 5:Thu, Nov 6, 2025 6:43:44 PM GMT last edited by Edward

US Plans Military Base in Damascus to Monitor Possible Syria-Israel Pact

Published NOV 6 2025

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Above: U.S. President Donald Trump (C) with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman (L) and Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa (R) in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on May 14, 2025. Image credit: @PressSec/X

The Spin

CompleteIf U.S.the withdrawaldetails fromof Syriathis makesreport strategicare senseaccurate, nowthis thatis Assada isstunning gonegeopolitical coup for the United States. KeepingBy overtaking 1control of the airbase,000 troopsAmerica therehas createsseized unnecessarya risksgolden afteropportunity 400+to attackscement sinceits Octoberfoothold 2023,in whileSyria liftingand sanctionsfurther givesits Syria'sinfluence newin government a realregion shotthat atnot stabilitytoo withoutlong costingago Americawas aaligned dimewith its adversaries. Rival powers like Russia will surely be left scrambling at this development.

Voice From The East on X

Ian Bremmer on X

AmericaWith isits seizingprimary objectives in the region already complete, it would be a goldenmistake opportunityfor bythe establishingU.S. militaryto double down on its presence in DamascusSyria. afterWith kickingAssad outgone Iran'sand RevolutionaryISIS Guard.practically Thisdefeated, strategica movetotal gives the U.S. awithdrawal crucialfrom footholdSyria inis Syria'sthe capitalonly whilepolicy leavingthat rivalsmakes likesense, Erdoganunless andthe Putinadministration scramblingwants afterto losingcommit theirvital influenceresources to a threat of diminishing strategic value.

Stars and Stripes

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 10% chance that Syria will be partitioned into new, internationally recognized sovereign states before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.