BBC News

Trump lowers tariffs on China and announces end to 'rare earths roadblock' after Xi meeting

MS Now

Trump has put U.S. national security up for sale, critics say

EuroNews

Trump announces deal with China after face-to-face talks with Xi in South Korea

Metaculus

US and China reach an agreement to limit frontier AI development before 2029?

The Korea Times

China agrees to one-year rare earth export deal, issue 'settled' says Trump

Korea Herald

Xi in S. Korea for 1st time in 11 years for talks with Trump, Lee

Global Times

Xi says China's development goes hand in hand with Trump's vision to "Make America Great Again"

krassenstein

realpeteyb123

CalltoActivism

FOX News

Trump cuts China tariff after Xi signals tougher fentanyl enforcement, rare-earth pause

China Daily

Xi calls for steady progress in ties

Reuters

Looming Trump Xi Meeting Revives Hope Us China Trade Truce

India Today

Trump seals rare-earths deal in 'amazing' meet with Xi, to cut China tariffs 10%

The Hindu

Trump-Xi meet highlights: Trump agrees to cut fentanyl tariffs on China to 10% after talks; says dispute with China settled

Guardian

Donald Trump speaks after Xi Jinping meeting in South Korea  live updates

The Indian Express

Trade teams have reached basic consensus: Xi says in South Korea talks with Trump

The Times of India

Donald Trump Xi Jinping Meeting Live Updates: Trump cuts China tariffs to 47% after meeting Xi Jinping

The Economic Times

Trump says US to cut tariffs on China to 47% after amazing meeting with Xi, teases major outcomes ahead

Bloomberg

Trump Says Amazing Meeting With Xi Yielded Fentanyl Tariff Cut

NDTV

US-China Sign 1-Year Deal On Rare Earths, Trump Rates Xi Meet "12 On 10"

Al Jazeera

Trump-Xi meeting live: China, US presidents wrap up talks on trade, tariffs

South China Morning Post

We have a deal: Trump reveals breakthroughs after 12 out of 10 Xi talks

Daily Mail

Trump jokes Xi Jinping is 'tough negotiator' as they meet at high-stakes showdown in South Korea

Live updates: Trump, South Korea strike agreement on trade deal details as shutdown impacts widen in the US

Breitbart

Trump, Xi ease fight on tariffs, rare earths

Donald Trump

Tsai Ing-wen

CSIS

Marco Rubio

Ian Bremmer

Michael McCaul

Ministry of National Defense of Taiwan

Bonnie S. Glaser

Mark Milley

Charles Glaser

Denny Roy

Mike Studeman

Oriana Skylar Mastro

Henry Olsen

Lyle Goldstein

Bates Gill

Minghao Zhao

Joseph Wu

Jessica Chen Weiss

Global Guardian

FischerKing

CounterPoint Global

Kerry Brown

Adithia Kusno

Palmer Luckey

Ely Ratner

Philip Davidson

"China has zero interest to invade Taiwan and has never threatened to invade Taiwan."

“I think we’ll be just fine with China. China doesn’t want to do that [invade Taiwan].”

"There's no indications or warnings of anything imminent [China attacking Taiwan] at this time."

a P.L.A. takeover of Taiwan is not inevitable nor, perhaps, even likely in the next few years."

"I wouldn't say war is likely in the next few years, but I wouldn't say it's unlikely over the next couple of decades."

"I think they (the Chinese) have intention, but absolutely I think we can get to the end of this decade without them committing major aggression against Taiwan."

"[T]here might indeed be some greater willingness by Beijing to coerce (or even invade) Taiwan during a Trump administration."

"An invasion of Taiwan could happen within this decade."

"Global Guardian thinks that the window for conflict or a blockade is now open, with that window most likely remaining open between 2024 and 2028."

"The idea is that anything we are working on, anything that we are investing in, needs to be built with the assumption that sometime in 2027, China is going to move on Taiwan."

“Taiwan is clearly one of [China's] ambitions before that and I think the threat is manifest during this decade — in fact, in the next six years.”

Will China Invade Taiwan by 2030?

Lloyd Austin

Mike Minihan

Jacob Thornburg

Michael Brenner

Finian Cunningham

Scott Ritter

Ray Dalio

Kevin Rudd

Zhao Tong

Stanislaw Koziej

Robert S. Ross

Charles C. Krulak

Michael C. Horowitz

Joseph S. Nye

Qin Gang

Frank Kendall III

Thomas L. Friedman

Marco J. Lyons

"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

Centre for Economics and Business Research

Capital Economics

S&P Global

Goldman Sachs

George Magnus

Eswar Prasad

Nathan Sheets

Desmond Lachman

Statista

Rob Subbaraman

JCER

Chris Giles

"China's nominal gross domestic product is unlikely to surpass that of the U.S. in the next few decades."

"This idea of China becoming the world's biggest economy may not happen, actually."

"China probably won't ever overtake the US economy on a sustained basis."

"The likelihood of the prediction that China's GDP will one day overtake that of the U.S. is declining."

"China is forecast to overtake the U.S. as the world’s largest economy by around 2035."

"China will overtake the US as the world's top economy in about 2035 with a high probability."

"[T]he size of China's economy in USD terms will overtake the US in 2028."

"China will overtake the United States to become the world's biggest economy in 2028."

Will China's GDP Overtake the US, And If So When?

Andrew Ng

Eric Schmidt

Chuck Schumer

Brad Smith

Nestor Maslej

Ruth Porat

Ylli Bajraktari

Bruegel

National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence

Brandon J. Weichert

Clement Delangue

Zhou Hongyi

Joseph Tsai

Huey-Meei Chang

Craig S. Smith

Jeffrey Ding

Ray Perrault

Susana Martinez

Niall Ferguson

Larry Elliot

Marcel Munch

Pavel Durov

John Rush

"I think, today, [China is] probably two years behind the top [AI] models [from the US]."

"Where China sits [in AI], I think, is very far behind the US."

"The United States is in a strong position to win the essential [AI] race with China."

"China will dominate AI."

"The combination with China's self-made chips + AI infrastructure stack will put China ahead of the US."

China would "undoubtedly come out on top [in the US-China AI race]."

"[I]t seems like the United States is really far ahead [when it comes to generative AI]."

"China will lead the world in AI development."

In 2025, "China will start to lead the AI race (as a consequence of leading the open-source AI race)."

Will China Surpass the US in AI?

US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping met on October 30, 2025, in Busan, South Korea, on the sidelines of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, marking their first face to face encounter in six years and since Trump returned to the White House.</span

US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping met on October 30, 2025, in Busan, South Korea, on the sidelines of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, marking their first face to face encounter in six years and since Trump returned to the White House.

Trump announced that US tariffs on Chinese goods would be reduced from 57 percent to 47 percent and that fentanyl related tariffs would be cut to 10 percent, with China agreeing to work hard to stop the flow of fentanyl precursor chemicals into the United States.</span

Trump announced that US tariffs on Chinese goods would be reduced from 57 percent to 47 percent and that fentanyl related tariffs would be cut to 10 percent, with China agreeing to work hard to stop the flow of fentanyl precursor chemicals into the United States.

The two leaders reached an understanding on rare earth minerals, with Trump stating the issue had been settled and that China would pause its export controls for at least one year, addressing a key point of contention between the world's two largest economies.</span

The two leaders reached an understanding on rare earth minerals, with Trump stating the issue had been settled and that China would pause its export controls for at least one year, addressing a key point of contention between the world's two largest economies.

China agreed to immediately resume large scale purchases of American soybeans after halting imports for several months, a move welcomed by Trump as a significant win for US farmers amid the ongoing trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing.</span

China agreed to immediately resume large scale purchases of American soybeans after halting imports for several months, a move welcomed by Trump as a significant win for US farmers amid the ongoing trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing.

Xi Jinping acknowledged it was normal for the two leading economies to have frictions given their different national conditions, while Trump praised Xi as a tough negotiator and said the meeting was a great success that would lead to a fantastic relationship.</span

Xi Jinping acknowledged it was normal for the two leading economies to have frictions given their different national conditions, while Trump praised Xi as a tough negotiator and said the meeting was a great success that would lead to a fantastic relationship.

Trump said he would visit China in April 2026 and that Xi would travel to the United States afterward, with the president noting that Taiwan did not come up during their discussions despite ongoing concerns about the self governed island's status.</span

Trump said he would visit China in April 2026 and that Xi would travel to the United States afterward, with the president noting that Taiwan did not come up during their discussions despite ongoing concerns about the self governed island's status.

Trump, Xi Meet in Busan: Tariffs Cut, Trade Deal Reached

Trump, MeetsXi XiMeet in Busan: Tariffs Cut, sealsTrade rare-earthsDeal dealReached

The Controversies

Global

Trump

Milley

Glaser

Glaser

Ratner

Goldstein

Rubio

Guardian

Luckey

Davidson

Thornburg

Milley

Ritter

Krulak

Rudd

Nye

Tong

Friedman

III

Horowitz

Minihan

JCER

Magnus

Economics

Prasad

Sachs

Times

Subbaraman

Research

Tsai

Ding

Smith

Rush

Munch

Hongyi

Maslej

Martinez

Delangue

Go Deeper

Sign Up for Our Free NewslettersSign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters