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Overshooting 1.5°C Climate Target Now 'Inevitable,' Says UN Chief

UNOvershooting Chief: 1.5°C Climate Target Now 'Inevitable,' toSays OvershootUN Chief

Overshooting 1.5°C Climate Target Now 'Inevitable,' Says UN Chief
Above: U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres speaks at a news conference on Oct. 9, 2025 in New York City. Image copyright: Wang Fan/China News Service/VCG/Getty Images

The Spin

The climate crisis has reached a point of no return with devastating consequences now inevitable. Global warming is pushing the planet to the brink as every one of the last 10 years has been the hottest in recorded history. The 1.5°C threshold will certainly be overshot, triggering catastrophic impacts including epic floods, fires, heatwaves and the destruction of marine ecosystems.

WhileAssertions about the 1.5°Ccauses targetand facessolutions temporaryfor overshoot,an returningexaggerated toclimate thiscrisis goaldemand byscrutiny. century'sInstances endof remainsclimate achievablechange withare immediateoften courseoverstated correction.as Thetipping focuspoints musteven shiftthough tothe makingenvironment anyhas overshootadapted asto briefpast andenvironmental minimalshifts, asand possiblehuman to avoid tipping pointsinterventions. IndigenousEconomic communitiesgrowth offerfuels essentialinnovation guidanceto asmitigate the best guardians of natureimpacts, providingwhile crucialalarmist wisdomnarratives forexaggerate achievingirreversible harmony with the environmentdamage.

ThereWhile isthe a1.5°C 97%target chancefaces oftemporary atovershoot, leastreturning 2˚Cto ofthis globalgoal warming by 2100,century's accordingend remains achievable with immediate course correction. The focus must shift to themaking Metaculusany predictionovershoot communityas brief and minimal as possible to avoid tipping points, but it can still be done.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 97% chance that there will be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0