The climate crisis has reached a point of no return with devastating consequences now inevitable. Global warming is pushing the planet to the brink as every one of the last 10 years has been the hottest in recorded history. The 1.5°C threshold will certainly be overshot, triggering catastrophic impacts including epic floods, fires, heatwaves and the destruction of marine ecosystems.
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ThereWhile isthe a1.5°C 97%target chancefaces oftemporary atovershoot, leastreturning 2˚Cto ofthis globalgoal warming by 2100,century's accordingend remains achievable with immediate course correction. The focus must shift to themaking Metaculusany predictionovershoot communityas brief and minimal as possible to avoid tipping points, but it can still be done.
There is a 97% chance that there will be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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