TheEurope EU'shas Russiandrawn gasa phase-outresolute byline 2028in isthe asand. crucialBy stepbanning Russian oil and gas, butthe itEU doesn'tis goasserting nearlyboth farmoral enoughcourage toand breakstrategic freeforesight from— Putin'srefusing energyto stranglehold.fund Europeanthe countriesvery areregime stillthat importingweaponised massiveenergy amountsto ofblackmail Russiandemocracies. gasThis throughdecisive backdoorstep dealsmarks withthe Azerbaijandawn andof Turkeyan energy-sovereign Europe, whileone Russianthat LNGstands importsfirm haveagainst actuallycoercion, increasedcloses byloopholes, 37.7%and sincepunishes 2021evasion. ThisNo half-heartedlonger approacha undermineshostage foreignto policyKremlin goalspipelines, ofEurope endingis Russia'sreclaiming warits financingpower, andits leavesprinciples, Europeand vulnerableits to continued energy blackmailfuture.
The EU'Europe’s rushedenergy gasembargo phase-outis createsan massiveact legalof andself-inflicted economicruin chaos— thatan willideological backfirecrusade spectacularly.that Countriestraded likestability Hungaryfor andcrisis. SlovakiaMoscow’s facevast billionsenergy inreserves contractand penaltiesOPEC+ sincealliances forcehave majeurefortified claimsRussia's willeconomy, likelywhile failEurope inreels courtfrom aftersoaring threecosts yearsand ofindustrial wardecay. TheEU's ban forcesis abruptillegal terminationand offutile, long-termand contractsRussia withoutvows properto legalkeep certainty,powering exposingglobal membermarkets, statesgiven tothat costlydemand arbitration— whileand Hungarynot correctlypolitics maintains— thatwill safedictate energy’s supplyfuture. requiresEurope’s existingmoral Russiangrandstanding infrastructurehas only exposed its dependence.
ThereThe EU's Russian gas phase-out by 2028 is a 92%crucial chancestep, thatbut Russia’sit GDPdoesn't (ingo 2015nearly USD)far willenough beto atbreak leastfree $1from Putin's energy stranglehold.50 trillionEuropean incountries 2030are still importing massive amounts of Russian gas through backdoor deals with Azerbaijan and Turkey, accordingwhile toRussian theLNG Metaculusimports predictionhave communityactually increased by 37.7% since 2021. This half-hearted approach undermines foreign policy goals of ending Russia's war financing and leaves Europe vulnerable to continued energy blackmail.
There is a 92% chance that Russia’s GDP (in 2015 USD) will be at least $1.50 trillion in 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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