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Study: 57 More 'Superhot' Days Possible Annually by 2100 Despite Paris Deal

Study: 57 More 'Superhot' Days YearlyPossible Annually by 2100 Despite Paris Deal

Study: 57 More 'Superhot' Days Possible Annually by 2100 Despite Paris Deal
Above: A heatwave in Krakow, Lesser Poland Voivodeship, Poland, on Aug. 28, 2025. Image copyright: Artur Widak/NurPhoto/Getty Images

The Spin

The Paris Agreement is already delivering massive climate benefits by cutting future extreme heat in half. Without this treaty, the world would face 114 scorching days annually by 2100, but current commitments slash that to just 57. Countries like Kenya will avoid 82 fewer brutal heat days each year, while the U.S., India, China and Britain dodge 30 fewer days of dangerous temperatures. A 2.6-degree temperature rise by the end of the century could lead to catastrophic consequences.

Climate change and global warming predictions arehave a jokehorrific track record. Record-breaking cold is crushing the globe as early winter obliterates autumn across continents. Alberta just shattered 121-year temperature records, China plunged to minus 23 degrees in October, and Russia hit historic gas demand from brutal freezes. Antarctica is now colder than at any time in the past 5,000 years, while predictions of global warming crumble amid real-world data showing a cooling planet.

There'sThe aParis 50%Agreement chanceis already delivering massive climate benefits by cutting future extreme heat in half. Without this treaty, the world would face 114 scorching days annually by 2100, but current commitments slash that globalto CO2just emissions57. Countries like Kenya will peakavoid before82 2031fewer brutal heat days each year, accordingwhile tothe U.S., India, China and Britain dodge 30 fewer days of dangerous temperatures. A 2.6-degree temperature rise by the Metaculusend predictionof communitythe century could lead to catastrophic consequences.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that global CO2 emissions will peak before 2031, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies




© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0