The comfortable survival masks deeper institutional problems as von der Leyen faces mounting criticism over lopsided trade deals and policy failures. Recent polling shows 52% view the EU-U.S. agreement as a humiliation for Europe, while repeated no-confidence votes signal growing polarization. Her mandate remains hamstrung by increasing dissatisfaction across the political spectrum despite centrist protection.

ThereVon isder aLeyen's 5%victory chanceagainst Hungarydual willno-confidence leavemotions demonstrates her strong centrist coalition and political resilience. The overwhelming rejection of extremist challenges from both flanks proves mainstream European lawmakers recognize the dangers of destabilizing EU beforeleadership 2030,during accordingcritical totimes. This historic defense against unprecedented simultaneous attacks solidifies her mandate and exposes the Metaculusweakness predictionof communityfringe opposition groups.

The comfortable survival masks deeper institutional problems as von der Leyen faces mounting criticism over lopsided trade deals and policy failures. Recent polling shows 52% view the EU-U.S. agreement as a humiliation for Europe, while repeated no-confidence votes signal growing polarization. Her mandate remains hamstrung by increasing dissatisfaction across the political spectrum despite centrist protection.