US federal government shuts down with uncertainty about how long it could last

Metaculus

US Government Shutdown Before 2028 election?

MSNBC

Federal government shuts down after Congress fails to reach spending deal

The government is shut down. Some Democrats already want to cave.

Donald Trump

Howard Lutnick

Grant Cardone

Peter Schiff

Stephen Moore






Felix Salmon

Doug Melville

"It's very unlikely that there would be more demand for the gold card than there is right now for the EB-5, to say nothing of enough for Trump's $50 trillion goal."

"The Gold Card initiative represents a bold and innovative approach to addressing the U.S. national debt."

"200,000 of these gold, green cards is $1 trillion to pay down our debt and that's why the President is doing it."

"1 million passes would raise $5 trillion chipping away at our debt."

"If we sell 10 million, which is possible ... that's $50 trillion. That means our debt is totally paid off, and we have $15 trillion above that."

Will Trump's $5M Gold Card Pay Off the US Debt?

Reuters

Congressional Budget Office

Scott Bessent

U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO)

Bipartisan Policy Center


Invezz

American Action Forum

Lazard

Edward Yardeni

Luke Gromen

Porter Stansberry

Eladio Santiago

"The United States of America is never going to default."

"The U.S. government won't default on its debt. The fear that it might do so is not justified."

"On the positive side, the U.S. is nowhere near the brink of default."

"NO, the US will not default on its debt!"

"If Congress does not act, the US could default on its debt obligations by mid-2025, a scenario that, year by year, looks more realistic."

"The US will default on its debt."

"The U.S. is on track to default on its debt within four years."

"I say to the Republicans out there – congressmen, senators – if they don't give you massive cuts, you're going to have to do a default."

Will the US Default on Its Debt?

White House Budget Director Russell Vought directed federal agencies to execute shutdown plans on Tuesday evening after Senate Democrats blocked a Republican continuing resolution. This marks the first government closure since Donald Trump's previous presidency.

New York Post

Politico

White House Budget Director Russell Vought directed federal agencies to execute shutdown plans on Tuesday evening after Senate Democrats blocked a Republican continuing resolution. This marks the first government closure since Donald Trump's previous presidency.

The shutdown stems from disagreement over enhanced Obamacare subsidies that Democrats want extended, while Republicans prefer to address healthcare issues separately from the short-term funding measure.

FOX News

The shutdown stems from disagreement over enhanced Obamacare subsidies that Democrats want extended, while Republicans prefer to address healthcare issues separately from the short-term funding measure.

Senate Republicans failed to pass their stopgap funding bill in a 55-45 vote, falling short of the required 60 votes. Three Democrats crossed party lines to support the measure that would extend funding until Nov. 21.

Al Jazeera

Senate Republicans failed to pass their stopgap funding bill in a 55-45 vote, falling short of the required 60 votes. Three Democrats crossed party lines to support the measure that would extend funding until Nov. 21.

Approximately 750,000 federal employees, earning roughly $400 million daily, could face furloughs, while essential workers, including air traffic controllers and military personnel, continue to work without immediate pay.

Approximately 750,000 federal employees, earning roughly $400 million daily, could face furloughs, while essential workers, including air traffic controllers and military personnel, continue to work without immediate pay.

Social Security payments, Medicare benefits, and other essential services will continue to operate. Meanwhile, non-essential government operations will cease, and some national parks and federal services may face potential closures.

Social Security payments, Medicare benefits, and other essential services will continue to operate. Meanwhile, non-essential government operations will cease, and some national parks and federal services may face potential closures.

Trump indicated that the administration could take irreversible actions during the shutdown, including permanent workforce reductions, while Vought separately instructed agencies to prepare plans for mass firings beyond typical furloughs.

Trump indicated that the administration could take irreversible actions during the shutdown, including permanent workforce reductions, while Vought separately instructed agencies to prepare plans for mass firings beyond typical furloughs.

CNN #0

Metaculus #0

MSNBC #0

White House budget director Russell Vought directed federal agencies to execute shutdown plans after Senate Democrats blocked a Republican continuing resolution, marking the first government closure since Trump's previous presidency.</span

New York Post #

Politico #

White House budget director Russell Vought directed federal agencies to execute shutdown plans after Senate Democrats blocked a Republican continuing resolution, marking the first government closure since Trump's previous presidency.

The shutdown stems from disagreement over enhanced Obamacare subsidies that Democrats want extended, while Republicans prefer to address healthcare issues separately from the short-term funding measure.</span

FOX News #

MSNBC #

Senate Republicans failed to pass their stopgap funding bill in a 55-45 vote, falling short of the required 60 votes, with three Democrats crossing party lines to support the measure that would extend funding until November 21.</span

Al Jazeera #

Senate Republicans failed to pass their stopgap funding bill in a 55-45 vote, falling short of the required 60 votes, with three Democrats crossing party lines to support the measure that would extend funding until November 21.

Approximately 750,000 federal employees earning roughly $400 million daily could face furloughs, while essential workers including air traffic controllers and military personnel continue working without immediate pay.</span

CNN #

Approximately 750,000 federal employees earning roughly $400 million daily could face furloughs, while essential workers including air traffic controllers and military personnel continue working without immediate pay.

Trump indicated the administration could take irreversible actions during the shutdown, including permanent workforce reductions, while Vought separately instructed agencies to prepare mass firing plans beyond typical furloughs.</span

Trump indicated the administration could take irreversible actions during the shutdown, including permanent workforce reductions, while Vought separately instructed agencies to prepare mass firing plans beyond typical furloughs.

Social Security payments, Medicare benefits and other essential services will continue operating, while non-essential government operations cease and some national parks and federal services face potential closures.</span

Social Security payments, Medicare benefits and other essential services will continue operating, while non-essential government operations cease and some national parks and federal services face potential closures.

Democrats chose to shut down the government over a clean, nonpartisan funding bill that would have kept America running. Senate Democrats said no because far-left interest groups wanted a showdown with the president. This reckless strategy is already showing cracks as three Democrats broke ranks to support keeping the government open.

Democrats chose to shut down the government over a clean, nonpartisan funding bill that would have kept America running. Senate Democrats said no because far-left interest groups wanted a showdown with the president. This reckless strategy is already showing cracks as three Democrats broke ranks to support keeping the government open.</span

The Hill

The Hill #

Government Shutdown Funding Bills

Democrats are shutting down the federal government because Trump won't force taxpayers to pay for free healthcare for illegal aliens. These America Last radicals are punishing their own constituents to fight for illegals. Senate Democrats just voted to send the government into a shutdown over their deranged priorities.

Democrats are shutting down the federal government because Trump won't force taxpayers to pay for free healthcare for illegal aliens. These America Last radicals are punishing their own constituents to fight for illegals. Senate Democrats just voted to send the government into a shutdown over their deranged priorities.</span

Newsmax

Newsmax #

Leavitt Blasts Shutdown Dems After Vote

Daily Caller

Daily Caller #

Schumers Bid To Shut Down Government Exposes Democratic Fissures

Government Shuts Down as Senate Blocks GOP Funding Bill

Governance

Money

Politics

United States of America

Extremist Republicans are holding the government hostage to force cuts to healthcare and vital services. The Democrats support a clean funding bill to keep America running. Shutting down services that millions rely on isn't leadership — it’s sabotage. Senate Democrats are fighting to protect working families, not caving to political brinkmanship.

Extremist Republicans are holding the government hostage to force cuts to healthcare and vital services. The Democrats support a clean funding bill to keep America running. Shutting down services that millions rely on isn't leadership — it’s sabotage. Senate Democrats are fighting to protect working families, not caving to political brinkmanship.

Chuck Schumer

SenSchumer

Democrats' reckless spending and refusal to compromise forced this shutdown. The GOP demands responsible budgeting, not bloated programs that burden taxpayers. Until Democrats stop pushing partisan agendas in must-pass bills, the Republicans will hold the line. This is about restoring fiscal sanity and protecting the future of the American economy.

Democrats' reckless spending and refusal to compromise forced this shutdown. The GOP demands responsible budgeting, not bloated programs that burden taxpayers. Until Democrats stop pushing partisan agendas in must-pass bills, the Republicans will hold the line. This is about restoring fiscal sanity and protecting the future of the American economy.

Karoline Leavitt

PressSec

There's an 85% chance that there will be a U.S. government shutdown before the 2028 presidential election, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

There's an 85% chance that there will be a U.S. government shutdown before the 2028 presidential election, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

US Government Shuts Down as Senate Blocks GOP Funding Bill

US Government Shuts Down as Senate Blocks GOP Funding Bill

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Salmon

Melville

Lutnick

Cardone

Trump

Bessent

Yardeni

Reuters

Santiago

Invezz

Gromen

Stansberry

Trump

Articles on this story

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US Government Shuts Down as Senate Blocks GOP Funding Bill

US Government Shuts Down as Senate Blocks GOP Funding Bill

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Salmon

Melville

Lutnick

Cardone

Trump

Bessent

Yardeni

Reuters

Santiago

Invezz

Gromen

Stansberry

Trump

Articles on this story

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