Controversy
Donald Trump
Reuters
Scott Bessent
Invezz
Edward Yardeni
Luke Gromen
Porter Stansberry
Eladio Santiago
+3
Status:Open

Will the US Default on Its Debt?

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

Eladio Santiago
Eladio Santiago"NO, the US will not default on its debt!"Aug 03, 2025
Porter Stansberry
Porter Stansberry"The U.S. is on track to default on its debt within four years."Aug 03, 2025
Invezz
Invezz"If Congress does not act, the US could default on its debt obligations by mid-2025, a scenario that, year by year, looks more realistic."Aug 01, 2025
Donald Trump
Donald Trump"I say to the Republicans out there – congressmen, senators – if they don't give you massive cuts, you're going to have to do a default."Apr 12, 2025
Scott Bessent
Scott Bessent"There is reasonable probability that the federal government's cash and extraordinary measure will be exhausted in August."May 09, 2025
Bipartisan Policy Center
Bipartisan Policy Center "BPC currently projects that the X Date [when the US could default] will most likely fall between August and early October."Aug 01, 2025
Congressional Budget Office
Congressional Budget Office"If the debt limit remains unchanged, the government's ability to borrow using extraordinary measures will probably be exhausted in August or September 2025."Jul 06, 2025
Lazard
Lazard"If the debt limit becomes binding later this year, it could lead to default."Aug 01, 2025
Luke Gromen
Luke Gromen"The US will default on its debt."Aug 03, 2025
Reuters
Reuters"On the positive side, the U.S. is nowhere near the brink of default."Aug 01, 2025
Edward Yardeni
Edward Yardeni"The U.S. government won't default on its debt. The fear that it might do so is not justified."May 27, 2025
Scott Bessent
Scott Bessent"The United States of America is never going to default."Jun 02, 2025
U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO)
U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO)"If Treasury exhausts its borrowing authority and runs out of cash to continue paying government obligations, a default will occur."Dec 11, 2024
American Action Forum
American Action Forum"A failure to act on the debt ceiling would force the federal government to default on its financial obligations."May 12, 2025
Scott Bessent
Scott Bessent"The United States is not going to default on its debt if I'm confirmed."Aug 01, 2025

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