US federal government shuts down with uncertainty about how long it could last

Metaculus

US Government Shutdown Before 2028 election?

MSNBC

Federal government shuts down after Congress fails to reach spending deal

The government is shut down. Some Democrats already want to cave.

Donald Trump

Howard Lutnick

Grant Cardone

Peter Schiff

Stephen Moore






Felix Salmon

Doug Melville

"It's very unlikely that there would be more demand for the gold card than there is right now for the EB-5, to say nothing of enough for Trump's $50 trillion goal."

"The Gold Card initiative represents a bold and innovative approach to addressing the U.S. national debt."

"200,000 of these gold, green cards is $1 trillion to pay down our debt and that's why the President is doing it."

"1 million passes would raise $5 trillion chipping away at our debt."

"If we sell 10 million, which is possible ... that's $50 trillion. That means our debt is totally paid off, and we have $15 trillion above that."

Will Trump's $5M Gold Card Pay Off the US Debt?

Reuters

Congressional Budget Office

Scott Bessent

U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO)

Bipartisan Policy Center


Invezz

American Action Forum

Lazard

Edward Yardeni

Luke Gromen

Porter Stansberry

Eladio Santiago

"The United States of America is never going to default."

"The U.S. government won't default on its debt. The fear that it might do so is not justified."

"On the positive side, the U.S. is nowhere near the brink of default."

"NO, the US will not default on its debt!"

"If Congress does not act, the US could default on its debt obligations by mid-2025, a scenario that, year by year, looks more realistic."

"The US will default on its debt."

"The U.S. is on track to default on its debt within four years."

"I say to the Republicans out there – congressmen, senators – if they don't give you massive cuts, you're going to have to do a default."

Will the US Default on Its Debt?

White House budget director Russell Vought directed federal agencies to execute shutdown plans after Senate Democrats blocked a Republican continuing resolution, marking the first government closure since Trump's previous presidency.</span

New York Post

Politico

White House budget director Russell Vought directed federal agencies to execute shutdown plans after Senate Democrats blocked a Republican continuing resolution, marking the first government closure since Trump's previous presidency.

The shutdown stems from disagreement over enhanced Obamacare subsidies that Democrats want extended, while Republicans prefer to address healthcare issues separately from the short-term funding measure.</span

FOX News

The shutdown stems from disagreement over enhanced Obamacare subsidies that Democrats want extended, while Republicans prefer to address healthcare issues separately from the short-term funding measure.

Senate Republicans failed to pass their stopgap funding bill in a 55-45 vote, falling short of the required 60 votes, with three Democrats crossing party lines to support the measure that would extend funding until November 21.</span

Al Jazeera

Senate Republicans failed to pass their stopgap funding bill in a 55-45 vote, falling short of the required 60 votes, with three Democrats crossing party lines to support the measure that would extend funding until November 21.

Approximately 750,000 federal employees earning roughly $400 million daily could face furloughs, while essential workers including air traffic controllers and military personnel continue working without immediate pay.</span

Approximately 750,000 federal employees earning roughly $400 million daily could face furloughs, while essential workers including air traffic controllers and military personnel continue working without immediate pay.

Trump indicated the administration could take irreversible actions during the shutdown, including permanent workforce reductions, while Vought separately instructed agencies to prepare mass firing plans beyond typical furloughs.</span

Trump indicated the administration could take irreversible actions during the shutdown, including permanent workforce reductions, while Vought separately instructed agencies to prepare mass firing plans beyond typical furloughs.

Social Security payments, Medicare benefits and other essential services will continue operating, while non-essential government operations cease and some national parks and federal services face potential closures.</span

Social Security payments, Medicare benefits and other essential services will continue operating, while non-essential government operations cease and some national parks and federal services face potential closures.

Government Shuts Down as Senate Blocks GOP Funding Bill

USGovernment governmentShuts shutsDown downas Senate Blocks GOP Funding Bill

The Controversies

Salmon

Melville

Lutnick

Cardone

Trump

Bessent

Yardeni

Reuters

Santiago

Invezz

Gromen

Stansberry

Trump

Articles on this story

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Government Shuts Down as Senate Blocks GOP Funding Bill

USGovernment governmentShuts shutsDown downas Senate Blocks GOP Funding Bill

The Controversies

Salmon

Melville

Lutnick

Cardone

Trump

Bessent

Yardeni

Reuters

Santiago

Invezz

Gromen

Stansberry

Trump

Articles on this story

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