Russian jets over Estonia ignored signals from NATO pilots, officials say
apSEP 21
German, Swedish Jets Track Russian Plane Over Baltic Sea
Above: A Russian IL-20M reconnaissance plane landing at an unknown location on July 23, 2006. Image copyright: Nikita Shchyukin/AFP/Getty Images
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
Russia continues to brazenly provoke and violate Western airspace. These are calculated incursions aimed at testing NATO's limits while hoping that its members take their eye off Ukraine to focus on their own defenses.
Pro-Russia narrative
Reports that Russia violated Estonia's airspace are false. The Russian jets made a scheduled flight from Karelia to Kaliningrad in strict accordance with airspace rules and without violating Estonia's airspace. This can be proven with objective monitoring of the flight paths.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 10% chance that there will be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027, according to the Metaculus community prediction.
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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.15.2
© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 6.15.2