Wired

No, Sam Altman, AI Won’t Solve All of Humanity’s Problems

Metaculus

When will we have transformative AI?

Elon Musk

Yoshua Bengio

Demis Hassabis

Melanie Mitchell

Stuart Russell

Sam Altman

Dario Amodei

Geoffrey Hinton

Yann LeCun

Gary Marcus

Max Tegmark

Shane Legg

Society is more likely to get "cat-level" or "dog-level" AI years before human-level AI.

"[W]e will eventually reach AGI... and quite possibly before the end of this century."

"Superhuman AIs" will be achieved "between a few years and a couple of decades."

"Digital intelligence" could overtake us within "5 to 20 years."

We may achieve "something like AGI or AGI-like in the next decade."

"[W]e could get to real AGI in the next decade."

"Human-level" AI could occur in "two or three years."

"I'd be surprised if we don't have AGI by [2029]."

Will AI Surpass Human Intelligence, and When?

<span>OpenAI's GPT-5 model achieved a perfect score by solving all 12 problems at the same competition, with 11 problems solved correctly on the first attempt and only requiring 9 submissions for the most difficult problem.</span

VentureBeat

Financial Times

OpenAI's GPT-5 model achieved a perfect score by solving all 12 problems at the same competition, with 11 problems solved correctly on the first attempt and only requiring 9 submissions for the most difficult problem.

<span>The International Collegiate Programming Contest is recognized as the world's most prestigious algorithmic programming competition at the college level, with teams from nearly 3,000 universities across 103 countries competing annually.</span

Google

The International Collegiate Programming Contest is recognized as the world's most prestigious algorithmic programming competition at the college level, with teams from nearly 3,000 universities across 103 countries competing annually.

<span>Gemini successfully solved Problem C within 30 minutes, a complex liquid distribution optimization challenge that no human team could complete, using dynamic programming algorithms and nested ternary searches to find the optimal solution.</span

The Guardian

Gemini successfully solved Problem C within 30 minutes, a complex liquid distribution optimization challenge that no human team could complete, using dynamic programming algorithms and nested ternary searches to find the optimal solution.

AI Models Win Gold at World Programming Competition

The Controversies

LeCun

Marcus

Bengio

Hinton

Hassabis

Altman

Amodei

Musk

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