Bolsonaro's deteriorating health condition clearly demonstrates the risks of forcing an elderly man with serious medical complications into prison. His fragile state, including skin cancer, persistent anemia and kidney problems, justifies maintaining house arrest rather than transferring him to dangerous prison facilities where proper medical care cannot be guaranteed. Political persecution is literally making him sick.
The convenient timing of Bolsonaro's health episodes right after his coup conviction raises serious questions about whether this is a calculated strategy to avoid prison time and gain public sympathy. Political opponents rightfully suspect these hospital visits are theatrical attempts to manipulate the justice system, especially when his allies openly admit they plan to use health arguments to keep him out of prison.
There's a 50% chance that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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