Rising NATO and global military spending threatensthreaten both the planet and human security. The $2.6 trillion NATO surge alone could fund climate adaptation, hunger relief and development for years, yet it will sharply increase emissions — potentially more than Brazil's annual output. Every dollar poured into arms deepens instability, fuels emissions, and diverts resources from genuine security. Peace, diplomacy and sustainable development — not bigger militaries — are the real path to safety and a livable planet.
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There's an 8% chance that there will be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027, according to the Metaculus community prediction.
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