Argentina: Opposition Wins Buenos Aires Legislative Election

Argentina: Opposition Wins Buenos Aires Legislative Election
Above: Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof speaks to the media in La Plata on Sept. 7, 2025. Image copyright: Anita Pouchard Serra/Bloomberg/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-government narrative

Despite this electoral setback, the government's economic course remains absolutely correct and will be accelerated rather than altered. The Peronist victory simply represents their ceiling as they deployed their 40-year political machine efficiently, but achieved nothing beyond their traditional stronghold performance. This defeat provides valuable lessons for October's national elections, where the real battle for Argentina's future will be decided.

Government-critical narrative

This crushing defeat exposes the failure of Milei's harsh austerity policies, which have devastated ordinary Argentines, while corruption scandals plague his inner circle. The overwhelming rejection in Argentina's most important electoral district demonstrates that voters are fed up with rising prices, social benefit cuts and declining incomes under libertarian governance.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 68% chance that Javier Milei will be reelected as president of Argentina before Jan. 1, 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.15.2

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.15.2