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Lebanon Cabinet Approves 'Objectives' of US Plan to Disarm Hezbollah

Above: Hezbollah supporters protest the plan to disarm it in Beirut on Aug. 7, 2025. Image copyright: Ibrahim Amro/AFP/Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The disarmament plan represents a historic opportunity for Lebanon to finally assert state sovereignty and end decades of armed militia control. This bold decision puts Lebanon on track to become a normal country where only legitimate government forces possess weapons. The U.S. proposal offers substantial economic incentives and reconstruction support that could transform Lebanon's devastated economy.

Establishment-critical narrative

Disarming Hezbollah while Israeli violations continue daily strips Lebanon of its only effective deterrent against ongoing aggression. The government's capitulation to American demands serves Israeli interests by leaving the country defenseless against an occupying force that refuses to withdraw from Lebanese territory. This betrayal abandons national resistance in favor of foreign diktat.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 35% chance that Lebanon will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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