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Trump, Starmer Discuss Gaza, Russia and Trade in Scotland

Above: U.K. Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and U.S. President Donald Trump meet for bilateral talks at Trump Turnberry golf club on July 28, 2025 in Turnberry, Scotland. Image copyright: Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

The Spin

Anti-Trump narrative

As children starve in Gaza and Russia continues to lay siege on Ukraine, Trump's golf retreat to Scotland epitomizes his unsuitability for the office of president. Doing little to move the dial and ever focused on himself, Trump's meeting with a meek Starmer, unwilling to offend, was unsurprisingly disappointing and of little substance beneath the pleasantries.

Pro-Trump narrative

Trump's Scotland visit is American diplomacy at its finest. Direct talks with Starmer on Gaza, trade, and immigration demonstrate serious engagement, making emphatic decisions on aid and sanctions, all while boosting the local Scottish economy. As Trump returns to Washington, he will do so refreshed, energized, and with a stronger hand than when he left.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 0.1% chance that Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2029, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



The Controversies



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