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Poll: Weight-Loss Drug Demand Could Outstrip Supply

Above: Injection pens for Wegovy on display during a news conference in Mumbai, India. Image copyright: Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg/Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The government has to step up to take the burden off of health providers. Too many people dealing with obesity aren't receiving the necessary level of government support to manage their condition, and they're turning to these drugs, which aren't widely available. It's time for these people to receive more support.

Narrative B

Health agencies have done their job creating strict guidelines, but the drug companies that advertise these medicines as beneficial for people of all types are causing the rise in demand. They also should've been more prepared for the drugs' success and the demand that would follow. No one who doesn't need these drugs should get them.

Metaculus Prediction

There's an 80.8% chance that oral semaglutide will be be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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