Metaculus

Will Meta report 1 billion active users by December 31, 2031?

Eileen Guo

Zarema Jaramillo

Chase White

Molly Liebergall

Newsweek

Therese Poletti


William Kovacic

Laila Maidan

Mario Nawfal

"There is very little chance that FB is required to be broken up, as we expect the FTC to lose the case."

"If the FTC is successful, Meta may be forced to divest two of its largest brands."

"If Meta is found guilty of violating antitrust laws, it could be forced to divest its subsidiaries or restructure the business."

The antitrust lawsuit against Facebook "could force it to sell off Instagram and WhatsApp."

"Meta could be forced to sell off IG and WhatsApp if the FTC wins the trial."

"Mark Zuckerberg might have to kiss Instagram and WhatsApp goodbye."

"A ruling in favor of the government could upend the social-media industry's largest player by forcing the divestitures of services core to Meta's (META) identity."

Will Meta Be Broken Up?

<span>The EU's TTPA regulation, which entered into force in April 2024, will become fully applicable on October 10, 2025, requiring political ads to carry transparency labels identifying sponsors, elections, amounts paid and targeting techniques.</span

European Union

EuroNews

The EU's TTPA regulation, which entered into force in April 2024, will become fully applicable on October 10, 2025, requiring political ads to carry transparency labels identifying sponsors, elections, amounts paid and targeting techniques.

<span>Meta stated the TTPA introduces "significant operational challenges and legal uncertainties" and creates "an untenable level of complexity" for advertisers and platforms operating in the EU.</span

Barrons

Meta stated the TTPA introduces "significant operational challenges and legal uncertainties" and creates "an untenable level of complexity" for advertisers and platforms operating in the EU.

<span>Google previously announced in November 2023 that it would also ban political advertising in the EU due to the incoming TTPA regulations, citing similar operational challenges and legal uncertainties.</span

The Associated Press

Google previously announced in November 2023 that it would also ban political advertising in the EU due to the incoming TTPA regulations, citing similar operational challenges and legal uncertainties.

<span>The TTPA regulation is designed to address concerns about information manipulation and foreign interference in elections, building on existing EU laws including the General Data Protection Regulation and Digital Services Act.</span

ft.com

The TTPA regulation is designed to address concerns about information manipulation and foreign interference in elections, building on existing EU laws including the General Data Protection Regulation and Digital Services Act.

<span>Meta emphasized that people and candidates in the EU can still post and debate politics organically on its platforms, but will not be able to amplify content through paid advertising under the new restrictions.</span

Meta emphasized that people and candidates in the EU can still post and debate politics organically on its platforms, but will not be able to amplify content through paid advertising under the new restrictions.

Metaculus #0

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Meta halts political advertising in the EU due to ‘unworkable’ rules

Europe

Science & technology

Strong transparency rules are essential to protect democratic processes from foreign interference and manipulation. The regulations address legitimate concerns about election integrity following scandals like Cambridge Analytica, ensuring voters have access to clear information about who is funding political messaging.

<span>Strong transparency rules are essential to protect democratic processes from foreign interference and manipulation. The regulations address legitimate concerns about election integrity following scandals like Cambridge Analytica, ensuring voters have access to clear information about who is funding political messaging.</span>

Meta to pull political ads in EU in response to new disinformation rules

France 24

Meta to ban political ads in EU due to bloc's 'unworkable' rules

Meta Bans EU Political Ads Over New Transparency Rules

Meta Bans EU Political Ads Over New Transparency Rules

Meta haltsBans politicalEU advertisingPolitical inAds theOver EUNew dueTransparency to ‘unworkable’ rulesRules

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Meta Bans EU Political Ads Over New Transparency Rules

Meta haltsBans politicalEU advertisingPolitical inAds theOver EUNew dueTransparency to ‘unworkable’ rulesRules

The Spin

The Controversies

White

Newsweek

Maidan

Guo

Nawfal

Poletti

Articles on this story

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