Trump says Israel has agreed to ceasefire conditions in Gaza; no response from Hamas yet
NBCJUN 29
Trump Says Israel Agrees to 60-Day Gaza Ceasefire Terms
Above: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to reporters at the White House on June 24, 2025 in Washington, DC. Image copyright: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
The Spin
Pro-Trump narrative
Trump's diplomatic pressure is finally breaking through after months of failed negotiations. The president's direct engagement and clear messaging to both sides shows real leadership that was missing under the previous administration. The fact that Israel is recognizing the opportunity for regional peace through expanded Abraham Accords to include Syria and Saudi Arabia makes this the right time to secure a deal.
Anti-Trump narrative
Trump's "ceasefire proposal" is a non-starter given that it calls for the Hamas leadership to go into exile, while previous ceasefire efforts failed because Israel resumed bombing. Moreover, the timing suspiciously coincides with intensified Israeli military operations, including killing unarmed Palestinian civilians seeking humanitarian aid, suggesting that this is more political theater than real progress toward peace.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance that the U.S. will give Israel at least 3 billion USD in aid in 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.