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Snapshot 7:Tue, Jun 24, 2025 5:51:55 PM GMT last edited by SofiaLanfri

NATO Summit Begins at The Hague

NATO Summit Begins at The Hague

Above: NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte and Munich Security Conference CEO Benedikt Franke at the NATO Summit on June 24, 2025. Image copyright: Klaudia Radecka/NurPhoto/Getty Images

The Spin

Trump's NATO approach has worked. European allies freeloaded for years, missing GDP targets while America overpaid. His pressure sparked real change, showing an ability to deftly protect American interests in several different continents at once. Critics wrongly called him NATO's destroyer. Instead, he's its savior, demanding accountability that strengthens the alliance through true burden-sharing.

European leaders must walk a tightrope at The Hague: placate Trump to prevent NATO walkout while building real continental defense. The 5% GDP pledge keeps Trump satisfied in the short-term, but Europe needs a long-term strategy for reduced U.S. involvement. Countries such as the U.K., France, Germany, and Poland must take the reins and ensure that they work alongside Washington, and not for it.

NATO's war machine demands massive spending justified by fear mongering. This latest buildup targets Russia with disinformation while the establishment profits from militarization. Meanwhile, ordinary people protest NATO's complicity in widespread destruction. NATO chooses confrontation at every opportunity it is time for the West to wake up and seek peace.

ThereTrump's isNATO aapproach 7%has chanceworked. ofEuropean aallies directfreeloaded conflictfor betweenyears, Russiamissing andGDP anytargets NATOwhile memberAmerica stateoverpaid. beforeHis 2027pressure sparked real change, accordingshowing an ability to deftly protect American interests in several different continents at once. Critics wrongly called him NATO's destroyer. Instead, he's its savior, demanding accountability that strengthens the Metaculusalliance predictionthrough communitytrue burden-sharing.

European leaders must walk a tightrope at The Hague: placate Trump to prevent NATO walkout while building real continental defense. The 5% GDP pledge keeps Trump satisfied in the short-term, but Europe needs a long-term strategy for reduced U.S. involvement. Countries such as the U.K., France, Germany, and Poland must take the reins and ensure that they work alongside Washington, and not for it.

NATO's war machine demands massive spending justified by fear mongering. This latest buildup targets Russia with disinformation while the establishment profits from militarization. Meanwhile, ordinary people protest NATO's complicity in widespread destruction. NATO chooses confrontation at every opportunity — it is time for the West to wake up and seek peace.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 7% chance of a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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