President Gustavo Petro's ambitious Total Peace sought to finally bring the country's decades-long armed conflict to an end, ensuring that guerrillas would not be persecuted once demobilized and disarmed. Violence in Cauca does not discredit the dialogue-based plan, as there has been success elsewhere in the country in addressing structural violence.
A former guerrilla himself, Petro won the presidency with a bold plan to finally bring the decades-old internal conflict in Colombia to an end, but his so-called total peace has failed. Ceasefires actually allowed armed groups to expand as the government opted not to apply military pressure on them, and Colombia is now in the middle of another escalation of violence.
There's a 9% chance that Colombia will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.