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The displacement crisis remains catastrophic, with 123.2 million people still uprooted, while funding cuts from wealthy nations abandon vulnerable populations. Many returns are forced deportations rather than voluntary, and conflicts in Sudan, Ukraine, and Myanmar continue generating massive new displacement.
There's a 50% chance that at least 530,000 noncitizens will be removed from the U.S. for fiscal years 2026 through 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.