FEMA is an expensive, bureaucratic failure that undermines state responsibility and creates perverse incentives for risky development. States already lead disaster response and only need federal resources when overwhelmed, so eliminating this bloated agency is a common-sense way to restore proper federalism while saving taxpayer money.
Trump has already begun dismantling FEMA during an active hurricane season, which will create catastrophic gaps in disaster response and leave vulnerable communities without critical federal expertise and resources. Many states lack the infrastructure, funding, and experience to handle major disasters alone, so completely eliminating FEMA will turn natural disasters into humanitarian crises.
There's a 50% chance that there will be 10.7 North Atlantic hurricanes in 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.