Hidden invasion: Rwanda's covert war in the Congo
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Rwanda's withdrawal is a justified response to Congo's manipulation of ECCAS for political purposes. The bloc violated its founding principles by denying Rwanda its rightful turn at the presidency, demonstrating institutional failure. This instrumentalization makes continued membership pointless when the organization abandons impartiality.
ECCAS correctly prioritized regional stability over procedural rotation by blocking an aggressor nation from leadership. Rwanda's military support for M23 rebels violates Congolese sovereignty and undermines regional peace. The bloc's decision sends a clear message that countries cannot violate the territorial integrity of others while expecting to lead regional institutions.
There's a 14% chance that an East African Federation will exist and govern before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.