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EU Trust Hits 20-Year High Amid Global Challenges

EU Trust Hits 20-Year High Amid Global Challenges

Above: A European Union flag at the Chancellery, near the Reichstag building, ahead of a visit by Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Ukraine's president, in Berlin, Germany, on May 28, 2025. Image copyright: Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

Despite global upheaval and rising populism, Europeans increasingly recognize the EU's indispensable global role. Trust in the Union has grown while faith in national governments crumbles, revealing a profound truth:; Inin an era of transnational challenges — from climate change to AI — Europe's strength lies not in fragmented nationalism but in unified action.

The latest Eurobarometer poll may try to paint a picture of unity, but it cannot conceal the rising tide of rebellion across Europe. From Paris to Budapest, patriotic and conservative forces are surging, rejecting EU overreach, mass migration, and elite arrogance. Brussels may cling to its illusions, but the people are awake, and they are taking Europe back.

ThereDespite isglobal anupheaval 11%and chancerising thatpopulism, anyEuropeans countryincreasingly willrecognize triggerthe articleEU's 50indispensable toglobal leaverole. Trust in the European Union, beforehas 2030grown while faith in national governments crumbles, accordingrevealing a profound truth; in an era of transnational challenges — from climate change to theAI Metaculus predictionEurope's communitystrength lies not in fragmented nationalism but in unified action.

The latest Eurobarometer poll may try to paint a picture of unity, but it cannot conceal the rising tide of rebellion across Europe. From Paris to Budapest, patriotic and conservative forces are surging, rejecting EU overreach, mass migration, and elite arrogance. Brussels may cling to its illusions, but the people are awake, and they are taking Europe back.

Metaculus Prediction

There is an 11% chance that any country will trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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