The chemical weapons determination and sanctions are a necessary response to escalating atrocities by Sudan's military, which has engaged in indiscriminate bombing of civilian infrastructure including schools, markets, and hospitals while using food deprivation as a weapon of war. The government's refusal to participate in peace talks shows its commitment to military solutions over negotiations.
The sanctions timing and chemical weapons claims appear politically motivated to distract from recent Congressional campaigns against UAE involvement, with the US neglecting to pursue proper investigation through the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons. The move undermines Sudan's legitimate fight against paramilitary forces threatening national stability.
There is a 60.9% chance that the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) will come out as the victor in the Sudanese civil war, according to the Metaculus prediction community.