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Snapshot 3:Fri, Nov 29, 2024 4:35:34 PM GMT last edited by KateHennig

IAEA Report: Iran Plans to Expand Nuclear Program

IranIAEA ExpandsReport: NuclearIran Program,Plans Hintsto atExpand WeaponsNuclear Policy ShiftProgram

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The Spin

Iran'sThe expansion of nuclear expansioncapabilities andis hintsa atlegitimate doctrineresponse changesto representWestern dangerousfailures escalationin thatupholding couldcommitments leadunder tothe weapons2015 development.nuclear Thedeal installationand ofcontinued advancedsanctions centrifugespressure. andThe increasedprogram enrichmentremains capabilitiespeaceful, combinedand withIran lackmaintains ofits cooperationright withto IAEAdevelop inspectors,nuclear raisestechnology seriousfor proliferationcivilian concernspurposes.

Iran's nuclear expansion and hints at doctrine changes represent dangerous escalation that could lead to weapons development. The installation of advanced centrifuges and increased enrichment capabilities — combined with a lack of cooperation with IAEA inspectors — raises serious proliferation concerns.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 1% chance that the US and Iran will be primary actors on opposite sides of war before 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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