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Snapshot 4:Fri, Nov 29, 2024 4:49:28 PM GMT last edited by Vandita

IAEA Report: Iran Plans to Expand Nuclear Program

IAEA Report: Iran Plans to Expand Nuclear Program

Above: Director General of the IAEA Rafael Grossi (L) and head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, Muhammad Islami, in Tehran on Nov. 14, 2024. Image copyright: Fatemeh Bahrami/Contributor/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

The expansion of nuclear capabilities is a legitimate response to Western failures in upholding commitments under the 2015 nuclear deal and continued sanctions pressure. The program remains peaceful, and Iran maintains its right to develop nuclear technology for civilian purposes.

Iran's nuclear expansion and hints at doctrine changes represent dangerous escalation that could lead to weapons development. The installation of advanced centrifuges and increased enrichment capabilities — combined with a lack of cooperation with IAEA inspectors — raises serious proliferation concerns.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 1% chance that the US and Iran will be primary actors on opposite sides of war before 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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