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"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

US President-elect Donald Trump Monday vowed to impose big tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China on assuming office, potentially triggering a trade war, spiking US businesses' and consumers' costs, and choking supply chains.

Reuters

US President-elect Donald Trump Monday vowed to impose big tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China on assuming office, potentially triggering a trade war, spiking US businesses' and consumers' costs, and choking supply chains.

Trump said he'd levy 25% tax on all goods coming in from Canada and Mexico; Chinese products would attract an extra 10% over all additional tariffs. He'll stick to them till these nations curb illegal immigration and drug trafficking, he said.

Sky News

Al Jazeera

Trump said he'd levy 25% tax on all goods coming in from Canada and Mexico; Chinese products would attract an extra 10% over all additional tariffs. He'll stick to them till these nations curb illegal immigration and drug trafficking, he said.

Posting on his Truth Social microblogging platform, Trump said Mexico and Canada have the "absolute right and power" to stop "this invasion of our country." He said China-made fentanyl was entering the US "at levels never seen before."

www.ft.com

ABC news

Posting on his Truth Social microblogging platform, Trump said Mexico and Canada have the "absolute right and power" to stop "this invasion of our country." He said China-made fentanyl was entering the US "at levels never seen before."

The US trades $1.5T worth goods—nearly 30% of its trade volume every year—with Canada and Mexico, two of its top trading partners. It is also China's largest export market, reportedly exchanging $600B of goods annually with it.

The Washington Post

The US trades $1.5T worth goods—nearly 30% of its trade volume every year—with Canada and Mexico, two of its top trading partners. It is also China's largest export market, reportedly exchanging $600B of goods annually with it.

Trump's new tariffs may violate a US-Mexico-Canada trade deal. Following his posts, Trump reportedly 'had a good conversation' with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. A Chinese official has said "no one will win a trade war."

BBC News

Trump's new tariffs may violate a US-Mexico-Canada trade deal. Following his posts, Trump reportedly 'had a good conversation' with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. A Chinese official has said "no one will win a trade war."

Following Trump's confrontational statements that hinted at his “America First” approach, the US dollar rose 1% against the Canadian dollar and 2% against the Mexican peso. Asian share markets and European equity futures plunged.

Following Trump's confrontational statements that hinted at his “America First” approach, the US dollar rose 1% against the Canadian dollar and 2% against the Mexican peso. Asian share markets and European equity futures plunged.

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US President-elect&nbsp;<a href="https://www.reuters.com/topic/person/donald-trump/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" style="color: inherit;">Donald Trump</a>&nbsp;Monday vowed to impose big tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China on assuming office, potentially triggering a trade war, spiking US businesses' and consumers' costs, and choking supply chains.

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US President-elect Donald Trump Monday vowed to impose big tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China on assuming office, potentially triggering a trade war, spiking US businesses' and consumers' costs, and choking supply chains.

The US-China Conflict

Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Trump to Hit Mexico, Canada, China With Tariffs on Day-1 in Office

Trump to Hit Mexico, Canada, China With Tariffs on Day-1 in Office

The Controversies

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Trump to Hit Mexico, Canada, China With Tariffs on Day-1 in Office

Trump to Hit Mexico, Canada, China With Tariffs on Day-1 in Office

The Controversies

Thornburg

Milley

Ritter

Krulak

Rudd

Nye

Tong

Friedman

III

Horowitz

Minihan

Go Deeper

Articles on this story

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