Lloyd Austin

Metaculus

Mark Milley

Mike Minihan

Jacob Thornburg

Michael Brenner

Finian Cunningham

Scott Ritter

Ray Dalio

Global Times

Kevin Rudd

Zhao Tong

Stanislaw Koziej

Robert S. Ross

Charles C. Krulak

Michael C. Horowitz

Joseph S. Nye

Qin Gang

Frank Kendall III

Thomas L. Friedman

Marco J. Lyons

"I argue that war is unlikely to occur due to the deep economic ties underlying the great power politics between the two countries."

"War with either [Russia or China] is neither inevitable nor imminent."

"As things currently stand, the US is not prepared to fight and win a war with China over Taiwan."

"A war between the US and China today is no more inevitable than was war between the rising US and the declining United Kingdom a century ago."

"[T]he tension between the United States and China will grow, and competition will intensify; it is inevitable. War, however, is not."

"War is a risk, but it is not inevitable."

"The risk of a military conflict is very serious."

"The smallest misstep by either side [Taipei and Beijing] could ignite a U.S.-China war."

"China is preparing for a war and specifically for a war with the United States."

"The most proximate potential timeframe for war is in the next two years."

"My gut tells me we [the US] will fight [with China] in 2025."

Will There Be a US-China War?

US President-elect&nbsp;<a href="https://www.reuters.com/topic/person/donald-trump/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" style="color: inherit;">Donald Trump</a>&nbsp;Monday vowed to impose big tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China on assuming office, potentially triggering a trade war, spiking US businesses' and consumers' costs, and choking supply chains.

Reuters

US President-elect Donald Trump Monday vowed to impose big tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China on assuming office, potentially triggering a trade war, spiking US businesses' and consumers' costs, and choking supply chains.

Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

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